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Mesoscale Discussion 1987 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1987
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CST FRI NOV 20 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...IA...FAR NERN NEB
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 201951Z - 210045Z
SUMMARY...A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR WILL LIKELY
SHIFT EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS A LARGE PART OF IA INTO THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS ONGOING FROM NERN NEB ACROSS
SIOUXLAND INTO N-CNTRL IA. LEADING PORTION OF THE HEAVY SNOW
APPEARED TO COINCIDE WELL WITH 700-MB FRONTOGENESIS SUPPORTING
INTENSE RATES OF 2-3 IN/HR EARLIER TODAY NEAR SIOUX FALLS. WHILE
REFLECTIVITY HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT SUBDUED OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS AS
THE 700-MB FRONTOGENESIS HAS SHIFTED NE...MID-LEVEL DCVA DOWNSTREAM
OF A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER CNTRL NEB IS YIELDING A MERGER OF HEAVY
SNOW BANDS ACROSS SIOUXLAND. ASCENT TIED TO THE DCVA AND LOW-LEVEL
ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD FOSTER A BROAD SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW THROUGH
EARLY EVENING...LIKELY PIVOTING ESE. WITH AMDAR DATA INVOF KOMA
DEPICTING SATURATION DOWN TO ABOUT 850 MB /COMPARED TO 700 MB IN THE
12Z RAOB/...THE I-80 CORRIDOR IN IA SHOULD BE ROUGHLY THE SRN EXTENT
OF HEAVY SNOW THROUGH 02Z.
..GRAMS.. 11/20/2015
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 41369454 41309291 41449185 41729126 42089103 42549109
43089231 43329451 43139606 42749678 42199704 41829663
41699615 41369454
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