MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2104
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0227 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL / W-CNTRL FL PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 576...

   VALID 282027Z - 282100Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 576 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR ISOLD DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A
   BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO WILL CONTINUE THRU THE LATE AFTERNOON.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC AT 2020Z SHOWS A CONVECTIVE LINE WITH
   EMBEDDED CELLULAR ELEMENTS PROGRESSING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS SERN AL AND
   THE WRN FL PANHANDLE.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CU FIELD
   AHEAD OF THE LINE WITH TEMPS RANGING FROM THE MID 70S OVER SERN AL
   AND INTO THE UPPER 70S CLOSER TO THE COAST.  A VERY STRONG WIND
   PROFILE /REFERENCE KEOX VAD/...COUPLED WITH MARGINAL BUOYANCY...WILL
   CONDITIONALLY SUPPORT A THREAT FOR A FEW STRONGER UPDRAFTS CAPABLE
   OF ISOLD DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO.  WHILE THE
   OVERALL THREAT IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED...THE POSSIBILITY FOR A TORNADIC
   HYBRID MESOVORTEX/SUPERCELL MESOCYCLONE APPEARS GREATEST FARTHER N
   OVER SERN AL WHERE UPSCALE GROWTH IS MOST PRONOUNCED/MATURE AND
   COULD BE MAXIMIZED DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.

   ..SMITH.. 12/28/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   32168593 32348535 31298536 30268587 30428651 32168593