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Mesoscale Discussion 1336
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1336
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0642 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2019

   Areas affected...portions of central/northeast Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 012342Z - 020215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms are developing along a surface front across
   portions of western/central Nebraska with coverage expected to
   increase along/near this boundary in the next couple of hours.
   Severe wind/hail are possible, but a watch issuance is unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...Storms are developing along a surface front stretching
   from a low in northeast Nebraska southwestward into northwest
   Kansas/eastern Colorado. With surface temperatures in the 80s to low
   90s F and dewpoints in the 60s F, MLCAPE has increase to 2000-2500
   J/kg across the area. The stronger mid-level flow remains displaced
   to the northwest/north, which will limit the shear and thus
   supercell potential of these storms. Overall, mostly multicellular
   convection is expected with isolated damaging winds as the main
   threat with isolated large hail also possible. Storm coverage will
   increase in the next couple of hours before sunset, then trend
   downward. Given the marginal severe threat and limited time for this
   threat, a watch issuance is unlikely.

   ..Nauslar/Thompson.. 07/01/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

   LAT...LON   40829903 40810012 40980050 41220069 41530064 42059995
               42649923 42949853 42899774 42749701 42509661 42299658
               41649713 41209796 40849893 40829903 

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