Mesoscale Discussion 2207
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1239 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

   Areas affected...northern Rapides Parish in central Louisiana

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 700...

   Valid 161839Z - 161915Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 700 continues.

   SUMMARY...Based on recent radar and environmental data, a strong to
   potentially intense tornado with potential peak winds of 110 to 155
   mph (EF1-EF3) is likely ongoing and tracking towards Alexandria, LA.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar signatures from KPOE as of 1832z reveal a
   long track tornadic supercell characterized by a 0.5 degree
   rotational velocity between 61 and 70 kt. A tornadic debris
   signature has also been noted on recent radar scans. These
   signatures are occurring in an environment characterized by STP
   between 4 and 5. Previous signatures within similar environments
   produced tornado-damage-estimated wind speeds from 110 to 155 mph
   and confidence is high for likely strong to potentially intense
   tornado. A tornado is ongoing and may continue based on the
   rotational velocity continuity and the storm moving within a
   favorable downstream environment.

   ..Nauslar/Grams.. 12/16/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31259270 31399260 31459237 31409232 31319235 31199256
               31189264 31259270