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Mesoscale Discussion 1849
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1849
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0522 PM CDT Sat Aug 05 2023

   Areas affected...Western KS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 052222Z - 052345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread/develop east
   across CO into western KS this evening. Hail/wind are the primary

   DISCUSSION...Central High Plains short-wave trough currently extends
   across the NE Panhandle into eastern CO. Thunderstorms have been
   gradually increasing ahead of this feature within a corridor of
   seasonally strong buoyancy, especially from Yuma to Pueblo County
   Colorado. Latest satellite imagery suggests an agitated cu field
   within the boundary layer across northwestern KS with several
   deepening towers over Gove/Trego County region. 35-50kt 500mb flow
   across CO into KS favors eastward propagation over the next few
   hours. Given the air mass currently observed over the central High
   Plains, new severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted.

   ..Darrow/Mosier.. 08/05/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   37370200 39780175 39499969 37210049 37370200 

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