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Mesoscale Discussion 252 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1004 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025
Areas affected...southeastern Indiana...southwestern Ohio...and a
small portion of northern Kentucky
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59...
Valid 200304Z - 200430Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe risk continues to gradually diminish across the WW
area.
DISCUSSION...Radar data continues to show a gradual decrease in
convective intensity with storms moving across Indiana/WW 69 over
the past couple of hours. This coincides with an associated,
gradual decrease in buoyancy, with RAP-based objective analysis now
showing mixed-layer CAPE below 500 J/kg across the WW area, and even
less with eastward extent toward central Ohio.
Expectations continue to be that storms will continue to gradually
weaken, and thus risk for severe-caliber gusts waning. While local
WW extension in area may be considered for a couple of counties in
western Ohio, overall risk should remain minimal for the remainder
of the evening.
..Goss.. 03/20/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...
LAT...LON 38448486 38808507 40208407 40658308 40228286 38528398
38448486
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