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Mesoscale Discussion 293
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0293
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0352 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2024

   Areas affected...northwestern Kansas into south-central Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 242052Z - 242215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms capable of severe hail and gusty winds will
   increase in coverage this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Day time heating is noted across western Kansas into
   south-central Nebraska where temperatures have warmed into the mid
   to upper 60s. Moisture across this region remains limited, with dew
   points in the 40s. Forcing along the surface cold front to the west
   amid steep mid-level lapse rates and cooling aloft has allowed
   thunderstorms to development over the last hour. Further
   thunderstorm development will be likely through the afternoon and
   evening, with the potential for instances of severe hail and gusty
   winds. Given the weak shear and poor thermodynamic profiles,
   coverage of this threat is uncertain. This area will be monitored
   for watch potential in the coming hour.

   ..Thornton/Hart.. 03/24/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   40909946 41019911 40929861 40749828 40499796 40299781
               39929790 39509840 39149927 38670065 38690143 38890153
               39300092 39750049 40289994 40599969 40909946 

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