Mesoscale Discussion 0372
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0222 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of central FL

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 86...

   Valid 031922Z - 032045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat in the short term (next 1-2
   hours) should continue to slowly diminish through the afternoon.
   Additional/downstream watch issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Low-level flow across the central FL Peninsula has
   gradually veered to southwesterly per recent surface observations
   and VWPs from KTBW/KMLB. This has reduced 0-1 km SRH along/ahead of
   a loosely organized band of thunderstorms extending southwest to
   northeast across the central FL Peninsula. The thermodynamic and
   kinematic environment remains conditionally favorable for severe
   convection across this area, with occasional strong to damaging
   winds and perhaps a brief tornado possible for the next hour or two
   before the stronger convection across the east-central FL Peninsula
   moves offshore. However, boundary-layer flow has become mostly
   parallel to enhanced mid-level southwesterlies, reducing low-level
   convergence/lift and leading to messy storm mergers/interactions.
   Current expectations are for the already isolated severe threat in
   the short term to slowly diminish through the rest of the afternoon.
   Therefore, additional/downstream watch issuance is not expected
   across the FL Peninsula.

   ..Gleason.. 04/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   28278066 27688173 27378259 27658278 28058253 28598178
               29308098 28858066 28488053 28278066