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Mesoscale Discussion 428
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0428
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0348 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

   Areas affected...parts of southern AL...southwest/central GA...into
   the western FL Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 132...

   Valid 062048Z - 062215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 132 continues.

   SUMMARY...Several bands of strong to severe storms will remain
   capable of damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes. Some local
   extensions of WW132 may be needed, but the downstream threat appears
   more limited.

   DISCUSSION...As of 2040 UTC, regional radar observations indicate a
   band of convection across southeastern AL and west-central GA
   continues to show embedded supercell and bowing structures capable
   of damaging gusts and tornadoes. This should continue for a couple
   more hours as storms approach the eastern edge of the Tornado Watch
   132. Areal extensions of a few counties may be needed as storms
   begin to outrun the watch. As storms continue farther east, a
   gradual decrease in buoyancy should favor weakening into the evening
   hours. Until then, damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes remain
   possible.

   To the southwest, a second smaller band of convection across
   southern AL will likely maintain intensity for a few more hours this
   afternoon. A few more isolated cells have also developed farther
   east within the warm sector across southwest GA and the northern FL
   Panhandle. 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 40+ kt of effective shear
   could support a continued severe threat into this evening. This
   matches with some hi-res guidance that shows a gradual expansion of
   strong storms into southwest GA and possibly northern FL. However,
   forcing for ascent is some what nebulous and storm coverage has
   remained more isolated thus far. With storms approaching the
   southeast corner of WW132 in the next few hours, some consideration
   may be given to a small downstream watch. However the extent of the
   severe risk and need for any new watches is currently unclear.

   ..Lyons.. 04/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30688841 31368762 32068571 32998474 33518424 33638347
               33448296 33028316 31788394 30788483 30508589 30478720
               30438831 30688841 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

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