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Mesoscale Discussion 599
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0599
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1024 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

   Areas affected...Northwest and Southwest TX into Southwest OK

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 020324Z - 020530Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Threat for damaging gust and isolated large hail may
   continue eastward from southwest Oklahoma through northwest Texas
   and into southwest Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery depicts a loosely organized,
   eastward-progressing convective cluster moving into far southwest OK
   and northwest TX, with its eastward propagation supported by outflow
   from earlier storms over the southwest TX Panhandle. Additional
   organization of this cluster may be underway, with some threat for
   damaging gusts and isolated large hail likely to persist downstream
   into more of southwest OK. 

   Farther south into southwest TX, the combination of increasing
   large-scale forcing for ascent with strengthening warm-air advection
   has contributed to increased thunderstorm coverage and intensity.
   This activity appears less organized than whats occurring farther
   north, but some additional organization is still possible, with an
   attendant threat for damaging gusts and isolated hail possible into
   more of northwest TX.

   ..Mosier/Guyer.. 05/02/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34510009 35479891 34789790 32909845 30659909 30539977
               31550031 32550046 34510009 

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