Mesoscale Discussion 0610
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0555 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of western North Texas into southwest and
   south-central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190...

   Valid 292255Z - 300030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Parts of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190 will likely be
   upgraded to a Tornado Watch within the hour.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of right-moving supercells is tracking
   east-northeastward along a stationary boundary draped across western
   North TX -- with a history of producing very large hail up to 5
   inches in diameter. This activity will continue tracking/developing
   east-northeastward along the boundary into the overnight hours,
   continuing to pose a risk of very large hail and severe wind gusts.
   Additionally, as the low-level jet strengthens amid moist/easterly
   low-level flow (upper 60s dewpoints), low-level hodographs will
   expand with substantial clockwise curvature (effective SRH upwards
   of 300 m2/s2). While front-parallel flow casts some uncertainty on
   mode evolution and ingestion of surface-based inflow, this
   environment will support an increasing tornado risk. Therefore,
   parts of WW190 will likely be upgraded to a Tornado Watch within the
   hour.

   ..Weinman/Guyer.. 04/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33550068 34040021 34739903 35049794 35029721 34869686
               34409677 34009694 33739738 33289846 32939963 32910028
               33050076 33550068 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN