SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 845
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   330 AM EST SUN NOV 6 2005
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
          MUCH OF INDIANA
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
          WESTERN OHIO
          WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
          LAKE ERIE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 330 AM UNTIL 700 AM EST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES
   EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOLEDO OHIO TO
   35 MILES EAST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
   THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
   PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
   WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
   WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 844. WATCH NUMBER 844 WILL NOT BE IN
   EFFECT AFTER 330 AM EST. CONTINUE...WW 843...
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG INCREASE IN DEEP SHEAR THAT HAS OCCURRED OVER
   THE LWR OH VLY IN RESPONSE TO CONTINUED ENE MOTION OF 75 KT MID
   LEVEL SPEED MAX NOW OVER SRN MO HAS RESULTED IN MORE DISCRETE STORM
   MODE OVER WRN TN/ WRN KY AND SRN IND COMPARED TO EARLIER THIS
   MORNING.  GIVEN EXPECTED CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF LOW TO MID LEVEL
   SHEAR AND QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLULAR MODE...POTENTIAL MAY PERSIST
   FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND/HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI