Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
 
   

Search SPC
 

SPC Publication List by Author

The following is a list of all publications produced by current members of the Storm Prediction Center's full-time staff. The list is organized alphabetically by author last name and then chronologically for each person. Those papers written while at SPC may be found online through our regular publications page.

You can also jump to a specific author alphabetically:
Evan Bentley | Michael Bowlan | Chris Broyles | Bill Bunting | Race Clark | David Cleaver | Ashton Robinson Cook | Mark Darrow | Andy Dean | Greg Dial | Roger Edwards | Matt Elliott | Aaron Gleason | Steve Goss | Jeremy Grams | Jared Guyer | John Hart | Ryan Jewell | Israel Jirak | Chris Karstens | Brynn Kerr | Liz Leitman | Jay Liang | Patrick Marsh | Jeff Milne | Matt Mosier | Nick Nauslar | Jeff Peters | Brett Roberts| Russ Schneider | Bryan Smith | Brian Squitieri | Rich Thompson | Nathan Wendt |

Evan Bentley
Storm Prediction Center

Lyza, A.W., A.W. Clayton, K.R. Knupp, E. Lenning, M.T. Friedlein, R. Castro, and E.S. Bentley*, 2017: Analysis of mesovortex characteristics, behavior, and interactions during the second 30 June - 1 July 2014 midwestern derecho event. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 12 (2), 1-33.

Bentley, E.S.**, and J. Logsdon, 2016: An examination of the mesoscale environment and evolution of the northern Indiana/northwest Ohio derecho of 29 June 2012. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (1), 1-25.

Carbin, G.W., J.L. Guyer, and E.S. Bentley**, 2014: Tornadoes 2013: Local devastation defies below normal numbers. Weatherwise, May-June.

Kellner, O., E.S. Bentley**, and D. Niyogi, 2011: Indiana tornado climatology: 1950-2010. Tech. Service Publication (TSP-19), Purdue University, 39 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Portland OR.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Syracuse IN.

Return to the author list

Michael Bowlan
Storm Prediction Center

Meyer, T.C., K. Berry, M.A. Bowlan, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia Jr., G.S. Garfield, A. Gerard, T. Hansen, C.D. Karstens, K.E. Klockow, D.S. LaDue, J. G. LaDue, W. Line, C. Ling, D.M. Kingfield, K. L. Manross, H. Obermeier, L. Rothfusz, and G. J. Stumpf, 2018: An overview of the 2017 Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 9.4.

Return to the author list

John C. (Chris) Broyles
Storm Prediction Center

Broyles, C., C.K. Potvin, K.C. Crosbie, R.M. Rabin, and P. Skinner, 2018: Location and frequency of surface lows and lower-tropospheric jets for U.S. violent tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., P57.

Broyles, C., C.K. Potvin, K.C. Crosbie, R.M. Rabin, and P. Skinner, 2018: U.S. violent tornadoes relative to the position of the 850-mb jet. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P55.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Broyles, J.C., and K.C. Crosbie, 2004: Evidence of smaller tornado alleys across the United States based on a long track F3-F5 tornado climatology study from 1880-2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA. [CD-ROM]

Broyles, J.C.*, R. Wynne, N. Dipasquale, H. Guerrero, T. Hendricks, 2002: Radar characteristics of violent tornadic storms using the NSSL algorithms across separate geographich regions of the United States. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 150-153.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 1 - low-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, J65-J68.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 2 - upper-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, J69-J72.

Marshall, T.P., J.C. Broyles*, J. Wingenroth, S. Kersch 2000: The effect of a low-level boundary on the development of the Panhandle, TX tornadic storm on 29 May 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 559-562.

Johns, R. H., J.C. Broyles*, D. Eastlack, H. Guerrero, and K. Harding, 2000: The role of synoptic patterns and temperature and moisture distribution in determining the locations of strong and violent tornado episodes in the north central United States: A preliminary examination. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 489-492.

Guerrero, H., J.C. Broyles**, and D. Eastlack, 1998: Forecasting tornado location across the Dakotas and Minnesota. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 301-304.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Amarillo TX.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Aberdeen SD.

Return to the author list

William F. "Bill" Bunting
Storm Prediction Center

Cohen, A.E., R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Andra, D.L. Jr., E.M. Quoetone, and W.F. Bunting, 2002: Warning decision making: The relative roles of conceptual models, technology, strategy, and forecaster expertise on 3 May 1999. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 559-566.

Doswell, C.A. III, W.F. Bunting, and B.E. Smith, 1993 (updated 2003): A guide to F-scale damage assessment. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA/NWS, 94 pp.

Return to the author list

Robert A. "Race" Clark
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Schumann, G., S. Frye, G. Wells, R. Adler, R. Brakenridge, J. Bolten, J. Murray, D. Slayback, F. Policelli, D. Kirschbaum, H. Wu, P. Cappelaere, T. Howard, Z. Flamig, R. Clark*, T. Stough, M. Chini, P. Matgen, D. Green, and B. Jones, 2016: Unlocking the full potential of Earth observation during the 2015 Texas flood disaster. Water Resources Res., 52, 3288-3293.

Clark, R.A. III*, J. Gourley, Z. Flamig, Y. Hong, and E. Clark, 2014: CONUS-wide evaluation of National Weather Service flash flood guidance products. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 377-392.

Gourley, J. J., Y. Hong, Z. L. Flamig, A. Arthur, R. A. Clark*, M. Calianno, I. Ruin, T. Ortel, M. E. Wieczorek, E. Clark, P.-E. Kirstetter, and W. F. Krajewski, 2013: A unified flash flood database over the US. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 799-805.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma/CIMMS/National Severe Storms Laboratory.

Return to the author list

David Cleaver
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Return to the author list

Ashton Robinson Cook
Storm Prediction Center

Cook, A.R., L.M. Leslie, D.B. Parsons, and J.T. Schaefer, 2017: The impact of El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on winter and early spring U.S. tornado outbreaks. J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.., 56, 2455-2478.

Cook, A.R., 2014: The impact of El Nino Southern Oscillation on the climatology of U.S. winter and early spring tornado outbreaks. PhD Dissertation, University of Oklahoma.

Cook, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2008: The relation of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to winter tornado outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3121-3137.

Return to the author list

Mark A. Darrow
Storm Prediction Center

Corfidi, S.F., R.H. Johns, and M.A. Darrow, 2016: The Great Basin derecho of 31 May 1994. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 917-935.

Darrow, M.A., and M.L. Rehbein, 1996: A preliminary investigation of west coast convection during the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 685-688.

Darrow, M.A.*, 1995: Flow patterns conducive for heavy snow in the northern Big Horn Mountains of north central Wyoming. Nat. Wea. Dig., 19, 4, 2-9.

Darrow, M.A.*, and J. S. Evans, 1993. Orographically induced heavy snow event in the Big Horn Mountains. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR-93-11, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 8 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WSO at Sheridan, WY.

Return to the author list

Andrew R. Dean
Storm Prediction Center

Edwards, R., and A.R. Dean, 2018: Environments of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P51.

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Campbell, M.A., A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, S.F. Corfidi, S. J. Corfidi, and C.M. Mead, 2017: Structure and motion of severe-wind-producing mesoscale convective systems and derechos in relation to the mean wind. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 423-439.

Clark, A. J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A. R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Clark, A.J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A.R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, J. Correia, Jr., C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens, E. Iyer, A.R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, K. Brewster, D. Stratman, G.W. Carbin, W.L. Line, R. Adams-Selin, and S. Willington, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Guyer J.L. and A.R. Dean, 2015: Tornadoes associated with an absence of cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP26.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Clark, A.J., S. Willington, D. Suri, J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, H. Lean, N. Roberts, M. Weeks, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens, P.T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., and S.R. Dembek, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Exploration of the NSSL Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) product for verifying experimental hail forecasts in the 2014 spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P76.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2013: Utility of objective verification metrics during the 2013 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 38th NWA Ann. Meeting, Charleston, SC, NWA, P1.27.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Clark, A.J., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, I.L. Jirak, M. Coniglio, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, J. Gao, X. Wang, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, T.L. Jensen, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: An overview of the 2010 Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program spring experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Sci., 93, 55-74.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: Investigation of an automated temporal disaggregation technique for convective outlooks during the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P9.137.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2012: An examination of tornado environments, events, and impacts from 2003-2012. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P6.0.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, J. Correia Jr., and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Real time objective verification of convective forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. Preprints, 37th NWA Ann. Meeting, Madison, WI, P1.52.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Barthold, F.E., M. J. Bodner, D.R. Novak, R. Bann, R. Oravec, B. Sullivan, A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, R.A. Sobash, A.J. Clark, F. Kong, S.J. Weiss, and M. Xue, 2011: The quantitative precipitation forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 24th Conf. Weather and Forecasting/20th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 9A.4.

Sobash, R.A., J.S. Kain, D.R. Bright, A.R. Dean, M.C. Coniglio, and S.J. Weiss, 2011: Probabilistic forecast guidance for severe thunderstorms based on the identification of extreme phenomena in convection-allowing model forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 714-728.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Sobash, R., J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, D.R. Bright, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: Using convection-allowing models to produce forecast guidance for severe thunderstorm hazards via a "surrogate severe" approach. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.3.

Christenberry, A., A.L. Lamers, B.A. Mejia, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: A multi-tiered verification of SPC tornado watches. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P4.4.

Miller, S.J. Jr., G.W. Carbin, J.S. Kain, E.W. McCaul Jr., A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: Preliminary Investigation into Lightning Hazard Prediction from High Resolution Numerical Model Output. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 4B.1.

Dean, A.R., 2010: An analysis of clustered tornado events. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.19.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Davis, J.M., A.R. Dean, and J.L. Guyer, 2010: A detailed analysis of SPC "high risk" outlooks, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 8B.6.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, and H.E. Brooks, 2009: Estimating potential severe weather societal impacts using probabilistic forecasts issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 5B.5.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Schneider, R.S., and A.R. Dean, 2008: A comprehensive 5-year severe storm environment climatology for the continental United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.4.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, S.R. Dembek, J.J. Levit, D.R. Bright, J.L. Case, M. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, and R, Sobash, 2008: Severe weather forecast guidance from the first generation of large domain convection-allowing models: Challenges and opportunities. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 12.1.

Sobash, R., D.R. Bright, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, S.J. Weiss and J.J. Levit, 2008: Severe storm forecast guidance based on explicit identification of convective phenomena in WRF model forecasts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 11.3.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2008: Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 9A.2.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: PDS watches: How dangerous are these "particularly dangerous situations?" Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., and D.A. Imy, 2006: A look at the tornado report and watch climatology for the continental United States from 1986-2005. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: The skill of forecasting relatively isolated severe thunderstorm events. Preprints, 18th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmos. Sciences. Atlanta, GA. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R. *, and B.H. Fiedler, 2002: Forecasting warm-season burnoff of low clouds at the San Francisco International Airport using linear regression and a neural network. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 629-639.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma.

Return to the author list

Greg L. Dial
Storm Prediction Center

Dial, G.L., J.P. Racy and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Short-term convective mode evolution along synoptic boundaries. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1430-1446.

Dial, G.L., and J.P. Racy, 2004: Forecasting short term convective mode and evolution for severe storms initiated along synoptic boundaries. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Robbins, G.T., and G.L. Dial*, 1994: A case study of orographic enhancement of helicity In the lee of the Appalachians. NWS Eastern Region Tech. Attachment No. 94-4A, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 13 pp.

Vescio, M.D., K.K. Keeter, G.L. Dial*, P. Badgett, and A.J. Riordan, 1993: A low-top weak-reflectivity severe weather episode along a thermal/moisture boundary in eastern North Carolina. Preprints: 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, 628-632.

Dial, G.L.**, 1992: Usefulness Of wind profiler data for short-term forecasting during a heavy snow event In north Texas. NWS Southern Region Tech. Attachment SR/SSD 92-6, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 7 pp. * Author affiliated with NWS WFO Raleigh, NC
** Author affiliated with NWS WFO Fort Worth, TX
# Author affiliated with Dept. of Meteorology, Texas A.&M. University

Return to the author list

Roger Edwards
Storm Prediction Center

Edwards, R., C.J. Nowotarski, S. Overpeck, and G.R. Woodall, 2018: Tornadoes in Hurricane Harvey: Documentation and environmental analysis. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P52.

Edwards, R., and A.R. Dean, 2018: Environments of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P51.

Edwards, R., J.T. Allen, and G.W. Carbin, 2018: Reliability and climatological impacts of convective wind estimations. J. Clim. Appl. Meteor., 57, 1825-1845.

Cohen, A.E., R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Edwards, R., and G.W. Carbin, 2016: Estimated convective winds: Reliability and effects on severe-storm climatology. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.6.

Edwards, R., and J.C. Picca, 2016: Tornadic debris signatures in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P162.

Lewis, J. M., S. Lakshmivarahan, J. Hu, R. Edwards, R. A. Maddox, R. L. Thompson, and S. F. Corfidi, 2016: Ensemble forecasting of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (4), 1-26.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Edwards, R., G.W. Carbin, and S.F. Corfidi, 2015: Overview of the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 13th History Symp., Phoenix, AZ, 1.1.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2014: Reversible CAPE in tropical cyclone tornado regimes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P88.

Edwards, R., 2014: Characteristics of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.5.

Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: An analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, California, tornado: Highest-elevation tornado documented in the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3925-3943.

Bunkers, M.J., D.A. Barber, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and J.M. Garner, 2014: Choosing a universal mean wind for supercell motion prediction. NWA Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 2 (11), 115-129.

Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2013: Tornado intensity estimation: Past, present and future. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 641-653.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Edwards, R., 2012: Tropical cyclone tornadoes: A review of knowledge in research and prediction. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 7 (6), 1-61.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2012: Comparison of objective supercell identification techniques using an idealized cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2090-2102.

Edwards, R., 2010: Tropical cyclone tornado records for the modernized NWS era. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.1.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Edwards, R., and H.E. Brooks, 2010: Possible impacts of the Enhanced Fujita Scale on United States tornado data. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.28.

Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2010: The Enhanced Fujita scale: Past, present and future. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P4.1.

Burkett, L., M. S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, J.M. Straka, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part I: Sensitivity to convective initiation mechanisms. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.23.

Gilmore, M.S., L. Burkett, R. Edwards, and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part II: Sounding variables as predictors of simulated low-level rotation. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7A.1.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, and R. Edwards, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part III: Comparisons at tornado-resolving grid spacing. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P10.20.

Monteverdi, J.P., and R. Edwards, 2010: The redevelopment of a warm-core structure in Erin: A case of inland tropical storm formation. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 5 (6), 1-18.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2009: Comments on "The North Dakota tornadic supercells of 18 July 2004: Issues concerning high LCL heights and evapotranspiration". Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1149-1158.

Houston, A.L., R.L. Thompson and R. Edwards, 2008: The optimal bulk wind differential depth and the utility of the upper-tropospheric storm-relative flow for forecasting supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 825-837.

Edwards, R., 2008: Tropical cyclone tornadoes -- a research and forecasting overview. Part 1: Climatologies, distribution and forecast concepts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 7A.1.

Monteverdi, J.P., and R. Edwards, 2008: Documentation of the overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin over Oklahoma. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P4.6.

Cerveny, R.S., J. Lawrimore, R. Edwards, and C. Landsea, 2007: Extreme weather records: Compilation, adjudication, and publication. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 853-860.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2006: Photographic documentation and environmental analysis of an intense, anticyclonic supercell on the Colorado plains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3753-3763.

Edwards, R., and D. M. Schultz, 2006: Editorial: Introducing EJSSM. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 1(1), 1-2.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., and A.E. Pietrycha, 2006: Archetypes for surface baroclinic boundaries influencing tropical cyclone tornado occurrence. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P8.2.

Edwards, R., 2006: Supercells of the Serranias del Burro (Mexico). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P6.2.

Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, G.J. Stumpf, and D. Gudgel, 2006: An analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado: Highest elevation tornado documented in the U.S. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P12.2.

McCarthy, D.W., J.T. Schaefer and R. Edwards, 2006: What are we doing with (or to) the F-Scale? Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, 5.6.

Rao, G.V., J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, and J.T. Schaefer, 2005: Structures of mesocirculations producing tornadoes associated with tropical cyclone Frances (1998). Pure Appl. Geophys., 162, 1627-1641.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.1.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 2.4.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2004: Environmental analysis and photographic documentation of an intense, left-moving supercell on the Colorado plains. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P12.2.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA,

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, J.W. Scheck, S.M. Spratt, B.C. Hagemeyer, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, J.L. Case and E. Kemp, 2004: MM5 simulations of precipitation and mesocyclone dynamics associated with TC Gabrielle (2001) using high resolution data of east central Florida. Preprints, 26th. Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, D. Gallagher, J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, S.M. Spratt and B.C. Hagemeyer, 2003: Radar characteristics of mesocyclones associated with tropical cyclones and simulation of the mesocyclonic characteristics using MM5. Preprints, 10th. Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland, P2.10.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Edwards, R., 2003: Rating tornado damage: An exercise in subjectivity. Preprints, Symp. F-scale and Severe Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach CA, P1.2.

Edwards, R., and L.R. Lemon, 2002: Proactive or reactive? The severe storm threat to large event venues. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 232-235.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2002: Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 599-602.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Edwards, R., S. F. Corfidi, R. L. Thompson, J. S. Evans, J. P. Craven, J. P. Racy, D. W. McCarthy, and M. D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting., 15, 682-699.

Edwards, R., R. L. Thompson, and J. G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 60-63.

Edwards, R., G. V. Rao and J. W. Scheck, 2000: Examination of tornadic supercells in Tropical Cyclone Earl (1998) using conventional and WSR-88D data suites. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 97-100.

Rao, G. V., R. Edwards and J. W. Scheck, 2000: Case studies of tornadoes associated with tropical cyclones based on conventional and WSR-88D data. Preprints, 24th Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL., 306-307.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: A comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) model soundings with observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 551-554.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part I: An examination of storm-relative winds normalized to supercell depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 431-434.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part II: An independent assessment of supercell forecast parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 435-438.

Schaefer, J. T., and R. Edwards, 1999, The SPC tornado/severe thunderstorm database. Preprints, 11th Conf. Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, 603-606.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide comparisons of hail size with WSR-88D vertically integrated liquid water and derived thermodynamic sounding data. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 277-285.

Edwards, R., 1998: Storm Prediction Center forecast support for landfalling tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology., Dallas, 53-56.

Edwards, R., 1998: Tornado production by exiting tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology., Dallas, TX, 485-488.

Edwards, R., and S. J. Weiss, 1996: Comparisons between Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature anomalies and southern U.S. severe thunderstorm frequency in the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 317-320.

Martin, P. L., and R. Edwards, 1995: A severe weather, hurricane, and flood climatology for the Austin/San Antonio WFO County Warning Area. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 167, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 27 pp.

Edwards, R., and J. A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar. 1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Edwards, R.*, 1992: Tornadic supercell over Dade and Broward Counties (Florida) on January 15, 1991. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 140, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX.

* Author affiliated with National Hurricane Center (NWS/NCEP), Miami, FL.

Return to the author list

Matthew S. Elliott
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Return to the author list

Aaron M. Gleason
Storm Prediction Center

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Return to the author list

Stephen M. Goss
Storm Prediction Center

Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Kain, J. S., S.M. Goss, and M.E. Baldwin, 2000: The melting effect as a factor in precipitation-type forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 700-714.

Richards, M., S. White and S.M. Goss*, 1997: A case study of a well-defined bow echo with bookend vortices, Nat. Wea. Dig., 21, 4, 23-29.

Goss, S.M.*, and J.N. Chrisman, 1995: An introduction to WSR-88D clutter suppression, and some tips for effective suppression utilization. National Weather Service Training Center, Warning Decision Training Branch Training Material, 16pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Nashville, TN.

Return to the author list

Jeremy S. Grams
Storm Prediction Center

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Grams, J.S., R.L. Thompson, D.V. Snively, J.A. Prentice, G.M. Hodges, and L.J. Reames, 2012: A climatology and comparison of parameters for significant tornado events in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 106-123.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Bright, D.R., and J.S. Grams, 2009: Short range ensemble forecast (SREF) calibrated thunderstorm probability forecasts: 2007-2008 verification and recent enhancements. Preprints, 4th Conf. Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, Phoenix, AZ. [CD-ROM]

Thompson, R.L., and J.S. Grams, 2008: Synoptic environments and convective modes associated with significant tornadoes in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.3.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2006: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 288-306.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2005: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Preprints, 21st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington D.C., 14A.2.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., L.S. Wharton, S. Koch, E.E. Ebert, and A. Loughe, 2004: Use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to verify IHOP QPF as a function of convective system morphology. Preprints, 20th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/17th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, J13.4.

* Author affiliated with Department of Geological and Atmospheric Science, Iowa State University.

Return to the author list

Jared L. Guyer
Storm Prediction Center

Guyer, J.L., 2018: A noteworthy year for supercells and tornadoes in the western United States in 2018. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P64.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Guyer J.L. and A.R. Dean, 2015: Tornadoes associated with an absence of cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP26.

Guyer, J.L., and I.L. Jirak, 2014: The utility of storm-scale ensemble forecasts of cool season severe weather events from the SPC perspective. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P37.

Carbin, G.W., J.L. Guyer, and E. Bentley, 2014: The 2013 tornado season: Local devastation defies below-normal numbers. Weatherwise, May-June.

Guyer, J.L., and J.A. Hart, 2012: Examination of WSR-88D VWP data in proximity to strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P4.62.

Davis, J.M., A.R. Dean, and J.L. Guyer, 2010: A detailed analysis of SPC "high risk" outlooks, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 8B.6.

Smith, B.T., and J.L. Guyer, 2008: The climatology, convective mode, and mesoscale environment of cool-season severe thunderstorms in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, 1995-2006. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13B.7.

Guyer, J.L., and D.R. Bright, 2008: Utility of SPC short-range ensemble forecast (SREF) guidance for forecasting the development of severe convection. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.1.

Kumjian, M., J.S. Evans, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of the Great Plains low level jet to nocturnal MCS development. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., and J.M. Davies, 2006: Enviroment characteristics associated with tornado events near closed cold core 500 mb lows. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Evans, J.S., and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of cool season significant tornado events and buoy data in the western Gulf of Mexico. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., D.A. Imy, A. Kis, and K. Venable, 2006: Cool season significant (F2-F5) tornadoes in the Gulf Coast states. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., and R. Ewald, 2004: Record hail event - examination of the Aurora, Nebraska supercell of 22 June 2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [CD ROM]

Davies, J.M., and J.L. Guyer, 2004: A preliminary climatology of tornado events with closed core 500 mb lows in the central and eastern United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms.

Guyer, J.L.*, and T.J. Shea, 2003: An Assessment of the Variability in Operational Assignment of F-Scale Damage. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA.

Guyer, J.L.*, and M.L. Moritz, 2003: On Issues of Tornado Damage Assessment and F-Scale Assignment in Agricultural Areas. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA.

Ewald, R., and J.L. Guyer*, 2002: The Ideal Lead Time for Tornado Warnings - A Look from the Customer's Perspective. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX.

Guyer, J.L.*, 2002: A Case of Supercell Intensification Along a Preexisting Boundary - Clay County Nebraska Tornado of 22 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 579-581.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Hastings, NE.

Return to the author list

John A. Hart
Storm Prediction Center

Cohen, A.E., R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Hart, J.A., and A.E. Cohen, 2016: The challenge of forecasting significant tornadoes from June to October using convective parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 2075-2084.

Hart, J.A., and A.E. Cohen, 2016: The Statistical Severe Convective Risk Assessment Model. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1697-1714.

Maddox R.A., M.S. Gilmore, C.A. Doswell III, R.H. Johns, C.A. Crisp, D.W. Burgess, J.A. Hart, and S.F. Piltz, 2013: Meteorological analyses of the Tri-State tornado event of March 1925. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (1), 1-27.

Guyer, J.L., and J.A. Hart, 2012: Examination of WSR-88D VWP data in proximity to strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P4.62.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Davies, J.M., and J.A. Hart, 2002: Mesoscale environment factors in the D.C. area tornado event of 24 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 575-578.

Craven, J.P., H.E. Brooks and J.A. Hart, 2002: Baseline climatology of sounding derived parameters associated with deep, moist convection. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 643-646.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, S.J. Weiss, P.R. Janish, J.A. Hart and A. Just, 2002: Grassroots science and technology transfer in a collaborative research/operational environment. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J1-J6.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Weiss, S.J., J.A. Hart and P.R. Janish, 2002: An examination of severe thunderstorm wind report climatology. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 446-449.

Smith, T.L., S.G. Benjamin, B.E. Schwartz, G. Grell, P.D. Bothwell, and J.A. Hart, 2000: A past and future look at the Rapid Update Cycle for the 3 May 1999 severe weather outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 21-24.

Brooks, H.E., M.P. Kay, and J.A. Hart, 1998: Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms. Minneapolis, MN, 552-555.

Imy, D.A., J.A. Hart and M.P. Kay, 1998: A tornado watch climatology for the continental U.S. 1987-1997, Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 276-279.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1998: The occurrence and non-occurrence of large hail with strong and violent tornado episodes: Frequency distributions. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 283-286.

Edwards, R., and J.A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar.1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Hart, J.A., 1993: SVRPLOT: A new method of accessing and manipulating the NSSFC severe weather data base. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, 40-41.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Differentiating between types of severe thunderstorm outbreaks: a preliminary investigation. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, 46-50.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Making potential buoyant energy value comparisons. NSSFC Operational Notes - July 1993, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-3.

Korotky, W.D., R.W. Przybylinski, and J.A. Hart*, 1993: The Plainfield, Illinois, tornado of August 28, 1990: The evolution of synoptic and mesoscale environments. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, 611-624.

Hart, J.A.*, and W. D. Korotky, 1992: The SHARP Workstation v1.50....A Skew-t/hodograph analysis and research program for the IBM and compatible PCs. NWS Eastern Region Computer Problems #13MC, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 58 pp.

Hart, J.A.*, and R. H. Johns, 1991: The derecho event of 9 April 1991. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 5-6.

Korotky, W., and J.A. Hart*, 1991: The SHARP workstation: Program description and applications. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 6-7.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Charleston, WV.

Return to the author list

Ryan E. D. Jewell
Storm Prediction Center

Jewell, R., 2010: The Sounding Analog Retrieval System (SARS). Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 4B.3.

Jewell, R., and J. Brimelow, 2009: Evaluation of Alberta hail growth model using severe hail proximity soundings from the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1592-1609.

Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, R.E. Jewell, and S.J. Weiss, 2005: A physically based parameter for lightning prediction and its calibration in ensemble forecasts. Preprints, Conf. Meteor. Applications of Lightning Data, San Diego, CA, CD-ROM (4.3).

Jewell, R.E., and J. Brimelow, 2004: Evaluation of an Alberta hail growth model using severe hail proximity soundings in the United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Craven, J.P., R.E. Jewell, and H.E. Brooks, 2002: Comparison between observed convective cloud-base heights and lifting condensation level for two different lifted parcels. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 885-890.

Jewell, R.E.*, 2000: Using storm top divergence signatures as large hail indicators in the Boise CWA. NWS Western Region Tech. Attachment WR-00-14, National Weather Service, Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT, 3 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Boise, ID.

Return to the author list

Israel L. Jirak
Storm Prediction Center

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2018: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in convection-allowing models. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P154.

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2018: An hourly climatology of MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe hail. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 13A.2.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Cohen, A.E., R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Jirak, I. L., C.J. Melick, S. J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens, and C. Grunzke, 2017: Evaluation of calibrated probabilistic hazard guidance during the 2016 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.4.

Clark, A. J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A. R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Jirak, I.L., A.J. Clark, C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2016: Investigation of the impact of convection-allowing ensemble size for severe weather forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.5.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2016: Comparison of the SPC Storm-Scale Ensemble of Opportunity to other convection-allowing ensembles for severe weather forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P102.

Hepper, R.M., I.L. Jirak, and J.M. Milne, 2016: Assessing the skill of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts of severe MCS winds from the SSEO. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 16B.2.

Clark, A.J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A.R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, J. Correia, Jr., C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens, E. Iyer, A.R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, K. Brewster, D. Stratman, G.W. Carbin, W.L. Line, R. Adams-Selin, and S. Willington, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Milne, J.M., H.E. Brooks, I.L. Jirak, and R.M. Hepper, 2016: Verification of 10-meter wind forecasts from NSSL-WRF in predicting severe wind-producing MCSs. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P115.

Wendt, N.A., I.L. Jirak, and C.J. Melick, 2016: Verification of severe weather proxies from the NSSL-WRF for hail forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P110.

Kain, J.S., S. Willington, A.J. Clark, S.J. Weiss, M. Weeks, I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, N.M. Roberts, C.D. Karstens, J.M. Wilkinson, K.H. Knopfmeier, H.W. Lean, L. Ellam, K. Hanley, R. North, and D. Suri, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 937-948.

Kain, J.S., S. M. Willington, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens, K.H. Knopfmeier, M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, N. Roberts, and H. Lean, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.1.

Willington, S.M., M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, L.M. Gilchrist, D. Suri, H.W. Lean, N. Roberts, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens, K.H. Knopfmeier, and K. Hanley, 2016: Evaluation of high resolution unified model configurations at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.2.

Cohen, A.E., S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, H.E. Brooks, and I.L. Jirak, 2017: Evaluation of multiple planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes in southeastern U.S. cold season severe weather environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1857-1883.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Jirak, I.L., C. J. Melick, and S. J. Weiss, 2015: Comparison of convection-allowing ensembles during the 2015 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP-36.

Sullivan, B.T., C.J. Melick, R.M. Mosier, I.L. Jirak, and C.D. McCray, 2014: The usefulness of winter weather local storm reports at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 39th NWA Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, P1.9.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Exploration of the NSSL Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) product for verifying experimental hail forecasts in the 2014 spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P76.

Guyer, J.L., and I.L. Jirak, 2014: The utility of storm-scale ensemble forecasts of cool season severe weather events from the SPC perspective. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P37.

Clark, A.J., S. Willington, D. Suri, J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, H. Lean, N. Roberts, M. Weeks, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens, P.T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., and S.R. Dembek, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Jirak, I.L., M. Coniglio, A.J. Clark, J. Correia Jr., K.H. Knopfmeier, C.J. Melick, S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, K. Brewster, Y. Wang, Y. Jung, and S. Willington, 2014: An overview of the 2014 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P46.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Combining probabilistic ensemble information from the environment with simulated storm attributes to generate calibrated probabilities of severe weather hazards. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.5.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2013: Utility of objective verification metrics during the 2013 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 38th NWA Ann. Meeting, Charleston, SC, NWA, P1.27.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: Investigation of an automated temporal disaggregation technique for convective outlooks during the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P9.137.

Jirak, I.L., S. J. Weiss, and C. J. Melick, 2012: The SPC storm-scale ensemble of opportunity: Overview and results from the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.2.

Clark, A.J., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, I.L. Jirak, M. Coniglio, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, J. Gao, X. Wang, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, T.L. Jensen, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: An overview of the 2010 Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program spring experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Sci., 93, 55-74.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, J. Correia Jr., and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Real time objective verification of convective forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. Preprints, 37th NWA Ann. Meeting, Madison, WI, P1.52.

Barthold, F.E., M. J. Bodner, D.R. Novak, R. Bann, R. Oravec, B. Sullivan, A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, R.A. Sobash, A.J. Clark, F. Kong, S.J. Weiss, and M. Xue, 2011: The quantitative precipitation forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 24th Conf. Weather and Forecasting/20th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 9A.4.

Marsh, P.T., J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Investigating a fundamental component of a warn-on-forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.4.

Jirak, I.L., S.J. Weiss, C.J. Melick, P.T. Marsh, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.3.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.J. Clark, P.T. Marsh, J.S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: An environmental climatology of the CAPS storm-scale ensemble forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.5.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Jirak, I.L.* and A. Keith, 2009: Examination of the Arizona precipitation record for evidence of precipitation suppression by air pollution aerosols. Preprints, Special Symp. Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions, Phoenix, AZ, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.* and W. R. Cotton, 2009: Reply (to 'Comments on "Observational analysis of the predictability of mesoscale convective systems'"). Wea. Forecasting, 24, 356-360.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2007: Impact of the initial convective arrangement on simulated MCS development. Preprints, 12th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Waterville Valley, NH, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2007: Observational analysis of the predictability of mesoscale convective systems. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 813-838.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2006: Sensitivity of MCS development to the initial convective arrangement. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St Louis, MO, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2005: Effect of air pollution on precipitation along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. J. Appl. Meteor., 45, 236-245.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and W. L. Woodley, 2004: Effect of air pollution on precipitation along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. Preprints, 16th Symp. Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification, San Diego, CA, 4 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2004: Environmental precursors to mesoscale convective system development. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, 4 pp.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and R. L. McAnelly, 2003: Satellite and radar survey of mesoscale convective system development. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2428-2449.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and R. L. McAnelly, 2002: Radar survey of mesoscale convective system development. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 50-53.

* Author affiliated with Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University at Prescott, AZ
** Author affiliated with Colorado State University

Return to the author list

Christopher D. Karstens
Storm Prediction Center

Karstens, C.D., J. Correia Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D.R. Harrison, J.L. Cintineo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a human-machine mix for forecasting severe convective events. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 715-737.

McGovern, A., C.D. Karstens, D. Harrison, and T. Smith, 2018: Using machine learning to predict storm longevity in real-time. 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, J44.1.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, C.D. Karstens, K.H. Knopfmeier, and D.M. Wheatley, 2018: Agile postprocessing: Towards user centered ensemble information extraction and visualization. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 14B.3.

Calhoun, K. M., C.D. Karstens, J.L. Cintineo, J. Sieglaff, G.J. Stumpf, J.J. James, and C. Ling, 2018: Integration of automated severe weather probabilistic guidance within NWS warnings in the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 13A.2.

Cintineo, J.L., M.J. Pavolonis, J. Sieglaff, C.D. Karstens, and K.M. Calhoun, 2018: Automated severe thunderstorm guidance from the NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere model within the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 13A.1.

Harrison, D., C.D. Karstens, and A. McGovern, 2018: Using machine learning techniques to predict near-term severe weather trends. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 11.6.

Meyer, T.C., K. Berry, M.A. Bowlan, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia Jr., G.S. Garfield, A. Gerard, T. Hansen, C.D. Karstens, K.E. Klockow, D.S. LaDue, J. G. LaDue, W. Line, C. Ling, D. M. Kingfield, K. L. Manross, H. Obermeier, L. Rothfusz, and G. J. Stumpf, 2018: An overview of the 2017 Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 9.4.

Obermeier, H., K.L. Nemunaitis-Berry, K.E. Klockow, C.D. Karstens, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Broadcast meteorologist decision making in the 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 8.4.

LaDue, D.S., J.J. James, C.A. Shivers, A. Gerard, C. Ling, J. Correia, Jr., K. Klockow, C.D. Karstens, and T. C. Meyer, 2018: Using the case walk through method to elucidate the interplay of forecaster and emergency manager decision making under and experimental warning paradigm. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 8.2.

Calhoun, K. M., T.C. Meyer, K. Berry, H. Obermeier, S.J. Sanders, C.A. Shivers, C.D. Karstens, J.P. Wolfe, and K. E. Klockow, 2018: Cloud-to-Ground lightning probabilities and warnings within an integrated warning team. Special Symp. Impact-Based Decision Support Services, Austin, TX, 4.4.

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, and C.D. Karstens, 2018: A glimpse into the future of IDSS with Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) for tornadoes. Special Symp. Impact-Based Decision Support Services, Austin, TX, 3.4.

Jergensen, E., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith, 2018: Real-time and climatological storm classification using support vector machines. 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, 1.2.

McGovern, A., E. Jergensen, C.D. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith, 2018: Real-time and climatological storm classification using machine learning. 17th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, 1.1.

Bruick, Z., and C.D. Karstens*, 2017: An investigation of local and national NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. NWA J. Oper. Meteor, 5, 14-25.

McGovern, A., K.L. Elmore, D.J. Gagne II, S.E. Haupt, C.D. Karstens, R. Lagerquist, T.M. Smith, and J.K. Williams, 2017: Using artificial intelligence to improve real-time decision making for high-impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 20732090.

Nemunaitis-Berry, K.L., H. Obermeier, S.A. Jasko, D. LaDue, C.D. Karstens*, G.M. Eosco, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Broadcast meteorologist decision-making in the 2016 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 4th Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Kansas City, MO, 1.4.

Karstens, C.D., A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Defining characteristics of a future severe weather warning paradigm for FACETs in the HWT. NWA 42nd Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA.

Karstens, C.D.*, A. Gerard, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T.C. Meyer, J.P. Wolfe, C. Ling, J.L. Cintineo, A. McGovern, H. Obermeier, D. R. Harrison, R. Lagerquist, J. James and T.M. Smith, 2017: Overview of the 2017 PHI Prototype Experiment with NWS forecasters. NWA 42nd Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA.

Jirak, I. L., C.J. Melick, S. J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens*, and C. Grunzke, 2017: Evaluation of calibrated probabilistic hazard guidance during the 2016 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.4.

Meyer, T.C., K.M. Calhoun, G.S. Garfield, A. Gerard, J. J. Gourley, C.D. Karstens*, D.M. Kingfield, D.S. LaDue, W.L. Line, C. Ling, S.M. Martinaitis, L. Rothfusz, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2017: The Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.5.

LaDue, D.S., C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., C. Ling, R. Hoffman, and A. Gerard, 2017: Designing research to co-create a new paradigm for a continuous flow of information during severe weather. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, 97th Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 2.4.

Obermeier, H., K.L. Nemunaitis-Berry, S. A. Jasko, D. LaDue, C.D. Karstens*, G.M. Eosco, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Broadcast Meteorologist decision making in the 2016 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 12th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Seattle, WA, 4.3.

Harrison, D., C.D. Karstens*, and A. McGovern, 2017: Verification and analysis of Probabilistic Hazards Information guidance. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 7.2.

Clark, A. J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A. R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens*, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Ling, C., J.J. James, C.D. Karstens*, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Role of automated guidance when forecasters issuing Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) during 2016 FACETs PHI-Prototype Hazardous Weather Testbeds. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.3.

Harrison, D., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens*, and R.A. Lagerquist, 2017: Best track: Object-based path identification and analysis. 7th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Seattle, WA, 319.

Bruick, Z. S., and C.D. Karstens*, 2017: An investigation of NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 884.

LaDue, D., C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., J.E. Hocker, S.J. Sanders, M. A. Dovil, C.A. Shivers, A. Bean, T. Adams, and A. Gerard, 2017: Temporal and spatial aspects of emergency manager use of prototype Probabilistic Hazard Information. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 896.

LaDue, J.G., M. Levitan, J. Wurman, C.D. Karstens*, F. T. Lombardo, B. W. MacAloney, II, T.M. Brown-Giammanco, W.L. Coulbourne, J.A. Womble, and J.P. Camp, 2017: Progress of the ASCE Wind Speed Estimation Standards Committee. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: Observation Needs to Advance Research, Prediction and Communication, Seattle, WA, 934.

Smith, T.M., K.L. Ortega, K.M. Calhoun, C.D. Karstens*, D.M. Kingfield, R.A. Lagerquist, M.C. Mahalik, A. McGovern, T.C. Meyer, H. Obermeier, A.E. Reinhart, and B.R. Smith, 2017: Initial results from MYRORSS: A multi-radar/multi-sensor climatology of the United States. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: Observation Needs to Advance Research, Prediction and Communication, Seattle, WA, 949.

Ling, C., J.J. James, S.M. Miran, G.J. Stumpf, T.L. Hansen, K.L. Manross, J. LaDue, A.V. Bates, C.D. Karstens*, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia Jr., T.C. Meyer, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Forecasters' mental workload while issuing Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) during 2016 FACETs PHI Hazardous Weather Testbeds. 33rd Conf. Environmental Information Processing Technologies, Seattle, WA, J9.3.

Karstens, C.D.*, 2017: Are central Oklahomans fixing their tornado sheltering problem? 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, 97th AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 9B.3.

Karstens, C.D.*, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, K.H. Knopfmeier, C.D. Karstens*, and D.M. Wheatley, 2016: Beyond probability: Providing information to warning forecasters using the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast system for ensembles (NEWS-e). 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 5B.2.

Bruick, Z.S., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: An investigation of NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.2.

Clark, A.J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A.R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens*, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, K. Shourd, D. Speheger, A. Anderson, R. Smith, D. Andra, T.M. Smith, V. Lakshmanan, and S.A. Erickson, 2016: Evaluation of near real-time preliminary tornado damage paths, J. Oper. Meteor, 4, 132-141.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, J. Correia, Jr., C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens*, E. Iyer, A.R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, K. Brewster, D. Stratman, G.W. Carbin, W.L. Line, R. Adams-Selin, and S. Willington, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Kain, J.S., S. Willington, A.J. Clark, S.J. Weiss, M. Weeks, I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, N.M. Roberts, C.D. Karstens*, J.M. Wilkinson, K.H. Knopfmeier, H.W. Lean, L. Ellam, K. Hanley, R. North, and D. Suri, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 937-948.

Harrison, D., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: A climatology of operational storm-based warnings: A geospatial analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 47-60.

Karstens, C.D.*, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

McGovern, A., C.D. Karstens*, T.M. Smith, and K.M. Calhoun, 2016: Using machine learning for nowcasting severe weather hazards. 14th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 3.6.

Harrison, D., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: A statistical overview of operational storm-based warnings. 11th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, New Orleans, LA, 4.3A.

LaDue, D., S. Ernst, C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., J.E. Hocker, and J.P. Wolfe, 2016: Co-creating the form and function of the prototype Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) to meet emergency manager user needs. 11th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, New Orleans, LA, 7.4.

Calhoun, K.M., G.S. Garfield, D.M. Kingfield, C.D. Karstens*, D.S. LaDue, W.L. Line, T.C. Meyer, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2016: The experimental warning program at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed. 6th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, New Orleans, LA, 8.5.

Kingfield, D. M., C.D. Karstens*, K.L. Ortega, and T.M. Smith, 2016: Innovative evaluations of National Weather Service severe weather warnings with a CONUS-wide multi-radar, multi-sensor climatological database. 4th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, New Orleans, LA, 885.

Kain, J.S., S. M. Willington, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens*, K.H. Knopfmeier, M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, N. Roberts, and H. Lean, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.1.

Willington, S.M., M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, L.M. Gilchrist, D. Suri, H.W. Lean, N. Roberts, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens*, K.H. Knopfmeier, and K. Hanley, 2016: Evaluation of high resolution unified model configurations at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, C. Ling, D.M. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., D.S. LaDue, T. Meyer, T. Smith, J. Cintineo, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Forecaster decision-making with automated probabilistic guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 4th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, New Orleans, LA, 4.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, G. J. Stumpf, C. Ling, D.M. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., D. LaDue, T. Meyer, T. Smith, J. Cintineo, C.J. Melick, and L. P. Rothfusz, 2015: Forecaster decision-making with automated probabilistic guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. NWA 40th Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK.

Karstens, C.D.*, D.M. Kingfield, T. Meyer, J. Wolfe, and T. Smith, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information Processing System (PHIPS): Rapid generation and blending of probabilistic forecasts for severe convective hazards. NWA 40th Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK.

Karstens, C.D.*, D.M. Kingfield, T. Meyer, J. Wolfe, and T. Smith, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information Processing System (PHIPS): Rapid Generation and Blending of Probabilistic Forecasts for Severe Convective Weather. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 277.

Gao, J., C. Fu, D. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, C.D. Karstens*, T. Smith, G. Creager, L.J. Wicker, and J.S. Kain 2015: A real-time weather-adaptive hybrid ensemble 3DVAR analysis system with automatic storm Positioning and on-demand capability. 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 13A.1.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, R.S. Schneider, and G.J. Stumpf, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Early-stage development of a new watch-warning paradigm. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.6.

Stumpf, G.J., C.D. Karstens*, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI): Highlighting the benefits via new verification techniques for FACETs. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.7.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): The science and strategic implementation plan for a watch/warning paradigm change. 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Phoenix, AZ, 6.4.

Shourd, K.N., and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: Experimentation and evaluation of nearly real-time tornado tracks. 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Phoenix, AZ, 7.8.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, 6.5.

Johnson, A., X. Wang, J. Carley, L. Wicker, and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: A comparison of multi-scale GSI-based EnKF and 3DVar data assimilation using Radar and conventional observations for mid-latitude convective-scale precipitation forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 3087-3108.

Lakshmanan, V., C.D. Karstens*, K.L. Elmore, S. Berkseth, and J. Krause, 2015: Which polarimetric variables are important for weather/no-weather discrimination? J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 32, 1209-1223.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, C. Ling, L. Hua, D.M. Kingfield, T.M. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L. Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Evaluation of a probabilistic forecasting methodology for severe convective weather in the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1551-1570.

Rothfusz, L., C.D. Karstens*, and D. Hilderbrand, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats: Exploring next-generation forecasting of high-impact weather. EOS Trans., 95, 325-326.

Burgess, D.W., K.L. Ortega, G.J. Stumpf, G. Garfield, C.D. Karstens*, T. Meyer, B. Smith, D. Speheger, J.M. LaDue, R. Smith, and T.P. Marshall, 2014: 20 May 2013 Moore, Oklahoma tornado: Damage survey and analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 12291237.

Lakshmanan, V., C.D. Karstens*, J. Krause, and L. Tang, 2014: Quality control of weather radar data using polarimetric variables. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 31, 1234-1249.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 22.

Rothfusz, L.P., R.S. Schneider, T. M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, and T.L. Hansen, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats: A proposed next-generation hazardous weather forecasting and communication paradigm. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 1.3.

Calhoun, K.M., G.S. Garfield, D.M. Kingfield, C.D. Karstens*, W. Line, K.L. Ortega, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: The 2013/2014 Experimental Warning Program at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.1.

Correia, J. Jr., I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, C.D. Karstens*, P. Marsh and D.A. Imy, 2014: Deriving hourly severe weather probabilities from convection allowing ensembles. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.6.

Clark, A.J., S. Willington, D. Suri, J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, H. Lean, N. Roberts, M. Weeks, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens*, P.T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., and S.R. Dembek, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Coniglio, M.C., D. A. Imy, C.D. Karstens*, A.J. Clark, J. Correia Jr., and C.J. Melick, 2014: Evaluation of one-hour probabilistic severe weather forecasts issued during the 2014 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 47.

Wood, V.T., P.L. Heinsleman, R.A. Brown, D.W. Burgess, D.L. Priegnitz, and C.D. Karstens*, 2014: An analysis of terminal Doppler weather and phased array radar velocity and reflectivity signatures of the 20 May 2013, Moore, Oklahoma tornado. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 116.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. NWA 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, D4.3.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, G.J. Stumpf, and R.S. Schneider, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats (FACETs): Progress in crystallizing a paradigm change. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, B1.2.

Ling, C., L. Hua, C.D. Karstens*, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: A comparison of short-term severe weather forecasts issued using WarnGen/AWIPS2 vs. Probabilistic Hazard Information threat objects for two displaced-realtime severe hail events - The human factors perspective. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, National Wea. Association, P3.50.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, G. Stumpf, and C.D. Karstens*, 2014: Forecasting a continuum of environmental threats (FACETs): A proposed next-generation warning concept for the U.S. World Weather Open Science Conf., Development of Applications in the Forecasting Process, Montreal, Canada, WWOSC, SCI-PS177.02.

Karstens, C.D.*, T.M. Smith, K.M. Calhoun, A.J. Clark, C. Ling, G.J. Stumpf, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Prototype tool development for creating probabilistic hazard information for severe convective phenomena. Preprints, 2nd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, 2.2.

Berkseth, S.M., V. Lakshmanan, C.D. Karstens*, and K.L. Ortega, 2014: Determining which polarimetric variables are important for weather/non-weather discrimination using statistical methods. 12th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Atlanta, GA, 2.3.

Clark, A.J., C.D. Karstens*, R. Bullock, and T.L. Jensen, 2014: Applying MODE time-domain for diagnosis and visualization of simulated supercells. 4th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Atlanta, GA, 2.3.

Ortega, K.L., D.W. Burgess, G.S. Garfield, C.D. Karstens*, J.G. LaDue, T.P. Marshall, T.C. Meyer, B.R. Smith, R. Smith, D. Speheger, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: Damage survey and analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-Moore, OK, EF-5 Tornado. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts, Atlanta, GA, 828.

Xu, Q., K. Nai, S. Liu, C.D. Karstens*, T. Smith, and Q. Zhao. 2013: Improved Doppler velocity dealiasing for radar data assimilation and storm-scale vortex detection. Adv. Meteor., 2013, 1-10.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus Jr., B.D. Lee, and C. A. Finley, 2012: Analysis of tornado-induced tree-fall using aerial photography from the Joplin, MO and Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornadoes of 2011. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 1049-1068.

Lee, B.D., C.A. Finley, and C.D. Karstens**, 2012: The Bowdle, South Dakota, cyclic tornadic supercell of 22 May 2010: Surface analysis of rear-flank downdraft evolution and multiple internal surges. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3419-3441.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus, Jr., P. P. Sarkar, B.D. Lee, and C.A. Finley, 2012: Understanding terrain impacts on tornado flow through tree-fall analysis of the Joplin and Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornadoes of 2011 and through numerical and laboratory vortex simulations. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 4B.2.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus, Jr., P.P. Sarkar, and T.P. Marshall, 2012: Supplemental damage indicators discovered in recent strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P106.

Stefkovich, J., T.P. Marshall, J. De Block, J.G. LaDue, and C.D. Karstens**, 2012: Damage survey of the Tuscaloosa - Birmingham, AL tornado. 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 5.3.

Karstens, C.D.**, W. A. Gallus, Jr., and P.P. Sarkar, 2012: Observation and laboratory experimentation of tornadoes translating over complex topography. Special Symposium on the Tornado Disasters of 2011, Preprints, 92nd AMS Ann. Meeting, New Orleans, LA, 636.

Karstens, C.D.**, and D. Herzmann, 2012: Technologies for improving operational forecasting and severe storms research. Preprints, 11th Ann. AMS Student Conference and Career Fair, New Orleans, LA, S134.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, B.D. Lee, W.A. Gallus Jr., and C.A. Finley, 2010: Near-ground pressure and wind measurements in tornadoes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 25702588.

Finley, C.A., B.D. Lee, M. Grzych, C.D. Karstens**, and T.M. Samaras, 2010: Mobile mesonet observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with a violent tornado near Bowdle, SD on 22 May 2010. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO., 8A.2.

Lee, B.D., C.A. Finley, C.D. Karstens**, and T.M. Samaras, 2010: Surface observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with the Aurora, NE tornado of 17 June 2009. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO. P8.27.

Samaras, T.M., C.D. Karstens**, B.D. Lee, and C.A. Finley, 2010: Wind measurements within a tornado core. 25th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO., P5.9.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, W.A. Gallus, Jr., C.A. Finley, and B.D. Lee, 2010: Analysis of near-surface wind flow in close proximity to tornadoes. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, P10.11.

Karstens, C.D.**, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2008: Simulations of near-ground hurricane winds influenced by built structures. Preprints, 28th Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Orlando, FL, P2H.11.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, A. Laubach, B.D. Lee, C.A. Finley, W.A. Gallus, and F.L. Haan, 2008: TWISTEX 2008: In situ and mobile mesonet observations of tornadoes. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe and Local Storms, Savannah, GA, P3.11.

* Author affiliated with CIMMS and NSSL
** Author affiliated with Iowa State University

Return to the author list

Brynn W. Kerr
Storm Prediction Center

Kerr, B.W., and G.L. Darkow, 1996: Storm-relative winds and helicity in the tornadic thunderstorm environment. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 489-505.

Return to the author list

Elizabeth M. (Stoppkotte) Leitman
Storm Prediction Center

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Stoppkotte, E.M.*, A. Lese, S. Pavlow and R.T. Baker, 2009: 14 September 2008 Ohio Valley high wind event associated with the remnants of Hurricane Ike. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Omaha NE. and NWA, CD-ROM.

Stoppkotte, E.M.**, and M.D. Long, 2006: Investigation of derecho storms in Oklahoma and the causes for highest surface wind speeds. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Stoppkotte, E.M.**, K.D. Stokes and M.A. Shafer, 2005: Creating county climate summaries for Oklahoma. 15th Conf. Applied Climatology, Savannah, GA, CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Louisville, KY.
** Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma.

Return to the author list

Jay Liang
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Return to the author list

Patrick T. Marsh
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Rogers, J.W., R.L. Thompson, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Potential applications of a CONUS sounding climatology developed at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P145.

Clark, A.J., S. Willington, D. Suri, J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, K.H. Knopfmeier, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, H. Lean, N. Roberts, M. Weeks, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, C.D. Karstens, P.T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., and S.R. Dembek, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Correia, J. Jr., I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, C.D. Karstens, P.T. Marsh and D.A. Imy, 2014: Deriving hourly severe weather probabilities from convection allowing ensembles. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Clark, A.J., J. Gao, P.T. Marsh*, T. Smith, J.S. Kain, J. Correia, M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2013: Tornado pathlength forecasts from 2010 to 2011 using ensemble updraft helicity. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 387?407.

Marsh, P.T.*, 2013: A method of calibrating probabilistic forecasts. PhD Dissertation, University of Oklahoma.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh*, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Marsh, P.T.*, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Comments on "Tornado risk analysis: Is Dixie Alley an extension of Tornado Alley?" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 405-407.

Marsh, P.T.*, J.S. Kain, V. Lakshmanan, A.J. Clark, N.M. Hitchens, and J. Hardy, 2012: A method for calibrating deterministic forecasts of rare events. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 531-538.

Bass, E.J., B. Hogan, D. Rude, B. Phillips, D. Westbrook, C. League, J. Brotzge, P.T. Marsh*, and L.R. Lemon, 2011: A method for investigating real-time distributed weather forecaster-emergency manager interaction. 2011 IEEE Int. Conf. Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. 9-12 October 2011, Anchorage, AK.

Harrold, M., T. Jensen, B. Brown, S. Weiss, P.T. Marsh*, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Clark, K. Thomas, J. Kain, M. Coniglio, and R.S. Schneider, 2011: Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA.

Jensen, T.L., M. Harrold, B.G. Brown, S.J. Weiss, P.T. Marsh*, M. Xue, F. Kong, A.J. Clark, K.W. Thomas, J.S. Kain, R.S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, J.J. Levit, and M.C. Coniglio, 2010: An overview of the objective evaluation performed during the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 spring experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.1.

Marsh, P.T.*, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Investigating a fundamental component of a warn-on-forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.4.

Jirak, I.L., S.J. Weiss, C.J. Melick, P.T. Marsh*, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.3.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.J. Clark, P.T. Marsh*, J.S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: An environmental climatology of the CAPS storm-scale ensemble forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.5.

Scharfenberg, K.A., D. Andra Jr., P.T. Marsh*, K. Ortega, and J. Brotzge, 2010: Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh*, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Brooks, H.E., P.T. Marsh*, A. Kowaleski, P. Groenemeijer, T. Thompson, C. Schwartz, C. Shafer, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey, 2009: Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts. Preprints, 5th Euro. Conf. Severe Storms, Landshut, Germany.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2009: Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the Community Climate System Model 3. Atmos. Res., 93, 607-618.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the European severe weather environment simulated by the CCSM3. Preprints, 4th Euro. Conf. Severe Storms, Trieste, Italy.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 8, 100-106.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2007: An assessment of the severe weather environment of North America simulated by a global climate model. Preprints, 87th AMS Ann. Meeting, San Antonio, TX.

* Author affiliated with CIMMS/National Severe Storms Laboratory and University of Oklahoma.
* Author affiliated with University of Arkansas.

Return to the author list

Jeffrey M. Milne
Storm Prediction Center

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2018: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in convection-allowing models. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P154.

Milne, J.M., H.E. Brooks, I.L. Jirak, and R.M. Hepper, 2016: Verification of 10-meter wind forecasts from NSSL-WRF in predicting severe wind-producing MCSs. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P115.

Hepper, R.M., I.L. Jirak, and J.M. Milne, 2016: Assessing the skill of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts of severe MCS winds from the SSEO. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 16B.2.

Sailor, D.J., M. Georgescu, J.M. Milne*, and M.A. Hart, 2015: Development of a national anthropogenic heating database with an extrapolation for international cities. Atmos. Environ., 118, 7-18.

Chow, W.T., F. Salamanca, M. Georgescu, A. Mahalov, J.M. Milne**, and B.L. Ruddell, 2014: A multi-method and multi-scale approach for estimating city-wide anthropogenic heat fluxes. Atmos. Environ., 99, 64-76.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma
** Author affiliated with Arizona State University

Return to the author list

R. Matt Mosier
Storm Prediction Center

Hampshire, N. L., R. M. Mosier, T.M. Ryan, and D.E. Cavanaugh, 2017: Relationship of low-level instability and tornado damage rating based on observed soundings. J. Operational Meteor., 6 (1), 1-12.

Sullivan, B.T., C.J. Melick, R.M. Mosier, I.L. Jirak, and C.D. McCray, 2014: The usefulness of winter weather local storm reports at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 39th NWA Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, P1.9.

Mosier, R.M.*, C. Schumacher, R.E. Orville, and L.D. Carey, 2011: Radar nowcasting of cloud-to-ground lightning over Houston, Texas. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 199-212.

Mosier, R.M.*, 2011: Vertically integrated ice (VII): A new lightning nowcasting forecasting tool. Preprints, 5th Conf. Meteor Applications of Lightning Data, 23-27.

Zhang, F., R.E. Morss, J.A. Sippel, T.K. Beckman, N.C. Clements, N.L. Hampshire, J.N. Harvey, J.M. Hernandez, Z.C. Morgan, R.M. Mosier**, S. Wang, and S.D. Winkley, 2011: An in-person survey investigating public perceptions of and responses to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1177-1190.

* Author affiliated with NWS Fort Worth, TX
** Author affiliated with Texas A&M University

Return to the author list

Nicholas J. Nauslar
Storm Prediction Center

Nauslar, N.J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California fires: A case study. Fire, 1, 1-17.

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Nauslar, N.J.*, M.L. Kaplan, J. Wallmann, and T.J. Brown, 2013: A forecast procedure for dry thunderstorms. J. Operational Meteor., 1 (17), 200-214.

Abatzoglou, J.T., R. Barbero, and N.J. Nauslar*, 2013: Diagnosing Santa Ana winds in southern California with synoptic-scale analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 704-710.

Nauslar, N.J.*, J. Wallmann, and T.J. Brown, 2010. A forecast procedure for dry thunderstorms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91, pp. 988-990.

* Author affiliated with Desert Research Institute

Return to the author list

Jeffrey L. Peters
Storm Prediction Center

Togstad, W.E., S.J. Taylor and J.L. Peters, 2004: An examination of severe thunderstorm discrimination skills from traditional Doppler radar parameters and near storm environment (NSE) factors at large radar range. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA. [CD-ROM]

Return to the author list

Brett Roberts
Storm Prediction Center

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Return to the author list

Russell S. Schneider
Storm Prediction Center

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, and G.J. Stumpf, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Early-stage development of a new watch-warning paradigm. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.6.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens, G.J. Stumpf, and R.S. Schneider, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats (FACETs): Progress in crystallizing a paradigm change. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, B1.2.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2012: An examination of tornado environments, events, and impacts from 2003-2012. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P6.0.

Harrold, M., T. Jensen, B. Brown, S. Weiss, P.T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Clark, K. Thomas, J. Kain, M. Coniglio, and R.S. Schneider, 2011: Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA.

Jensen, T.L., M. Harrold, B.G. Brown, S.J. Weiss, P.T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A.J. Clark, K.W. Thomas, J.S. Kain, R.S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, J.J. Levit, and M.C. Coniglio, 2010: An overview of the objective evaluation performed during the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 spring experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.1.

Bosart, L.F., T.J. Melino, S.R. Sukup, S.J. Weiss, J.P. Racy, R.S. Schneider, E.S. Pytlak, J.E. Matusiak, and D.R. Bright, 2010: Potential vorticity disturbances as a source of severe weather in the Southwest. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 2.1.

Harless, A.R., S.J. Weiss, R.S. Schneider, M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2010: A report and feature-based verification study of the CAPS 2008 storm-scale ensemble forecasts for severe convective weather. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13.2.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, and H.E. Brooks, 2009: Estimating potential severe weather societal impacts using probabilistic forecasts issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 5B.5.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Schneider, R.S., and A.R. Dean, 2008: A comprehensive 5-year severe storm environment climatology for the continental United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.4.

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, and R.S. Schneider, 2008: The evolution of multi-scale ensemble guidance in the prediction of convective and severe convective storms at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.7.

Levit, J.J., G.W. Carbin, D.R. Bright, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, R.S. Schneider, M.C. Coniglio, M. Xue, K.W. Thomas, M. Pyle, and M.L. Weisman, 2008: The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 2008 spring experiment: Technical and scientific challenges of creating a data visualization environment for storm-scale deterministic and ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.5.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2008: Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 9A.2.

Scharfenberg, K.A., D.L. Andra, S.A. Erickson, J.T. Ferree, and R.S. Schneider 2008: Communicating severe local storm information to support decision-making: beyond the watch and the warning. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 8A.4.

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, and R.S. Schneider, 2008: The evolution of multi-scale ensemble guidance in the prediction of convective and severe convective storms at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.7.

Wasula, A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2007: Mesoscale aspects of the rapid intensification of a tornadic convective line across central Florida: 22-23 February 1998. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 223-243.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM] CD-ROM.

Wasula A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2004: The structure and climatology of boundary layer winds in the Southeast United States and its relationship to nocturnal tornado episodes. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA. [CD-ROM]

Levit, J.J., V. Lakshmanan, K. Manross and R. S. Schneider, 2004: Integration of the Warning Decision Support System - integrated information into the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, 8B.4.

Schneider, R.S., J.T. Schaefer, and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado outbreak days: An updated and expanded climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, P5.1.

Schneider, R.S., H.E. Brooks and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado outbreak day sequences: Historic events and climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Janish, P.R., S.J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, J.P. Cupo, E. Szoke, J.M. Brown and C.L. Zeigler, 2002: Probabilistic convection initation forecasts in support of IHOP during the 2002 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 283-286.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver 1999: A study of heavy rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 701-712.

Junker, N.W. and R.S. Schneider*, 1997: Two case studies of quasi-stationary convection during the 1993 Great Midwest Flood. Nat. Wea. Dig., 21, 2, 5-17.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver, 1996: A comparison of heavy and extreme rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, J120-J123.

Schneider, R.S.*, N. W. Junker, M. T. Eckert, and T. M. Considine, 1996: The performance of the 29 km Meso Eta model in support of forecasting at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. Preprints, 15th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, J111-J114.

Uccellini, L.W., P.J. Kocin, R.S. Schneider*, P.M. Stokols, and R.A. Dorr, 1995: Forecasting for the 12-14 March 1993 Superstorm. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 183-199.

Schneider, R.S.*, G. J. DiMego, and R. A. Petersen, 1993: Regional forecast improvements using wind profiler data at the National Meteorological Center. Preprints, 13th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, 455-456.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 533-558.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Preprints, 4th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Boulder, CO, 152-153.

Achtor, T.H., R.S. Schneider**, and D.R. Johnson, 1982: Earth and planetary atmospheric circulations viewed from space: Educational modules for the atmospheric sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center. University of Wisconsin-Madison. 42 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

Schneider, R.S.**, D.R. Johnson, T.H. Achtor, D.A. Edman, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Squall Line Development: Educational Modules for the Atmospheric Sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 70 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

Achtor, T.H., D.A. Edman, D.R. Johnson, R. S. Schneider**, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Cyclogenesis: Educational Modules for the Atmospheric Sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison (Listed alphabetically not order of authorship), 45 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

* Author affiliated with Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (NWS/NCEP)
** Author affiliated with Dept. of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Return to the author list

Bryan T. Smith
Storm Prediction Center

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Cohen, A.E., J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating tornado probability and tornado wind speed based on statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1099-1108.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Smith, B.T., 2017: Utilization of the NWS Damage Assessment Tool for future tornado database development and application. Preprints, 42nd Natl. Wea. Assoc. Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA, D-1.1.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Rogers, J.W., B.A. Hagenhoff, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and E.E. Carpenter, 2016: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. NWA J. Oper. Meteor., 5 (4), 42-52.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

Hagenhoff, B.A., A.E. Cohen, J.W. Rogers, E.E. Carpenter, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2015: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP11.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Brotzge, J.A., S.E. Nelson, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2013: Tornado probability of detection and lead time as a function of convective mode and environmental parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1261-1276.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and T.E. Castellanos, 2010: Measured severe wind gust climatology of thunderstorms for the contiguous United States, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.3.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Smith, B.T., and J.L. Guyer, 2008: The climatology, convective mode, and mesoscale environment of cool-season severe thunderstorms in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, 1995-2006. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13B.7.

Smith, B.T.*, C. Omitt, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: Characteristics of cool season severe environments in the Ohio Valley (1995-2006). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Smith, B.T.*, 2006: SVRGIS: Geographic Information System (GIS) Graphical Database of Tornado, Large Hail, and Damaging Wind Reports in the United States (1950-2005). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with Ball State University.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Indianapolis, IN.

Return to the author list

Brian Squitieri
Storm Prediction Center

Gallus, W.A., Jr., J.T. Thielen, and B.J. Squitieri*, 2018: Microphysical and resolution influences on WRF forecasts of convective morphology evolution for nocturnal MCSs in weakly forced environments. EGU General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria.

Thielen, J.T., W.A. Gallus, Jr., and B.J. Squitieri*, 2018: Microphysical and resolution Influences on WRF forecasts of convective morphology evolution for nocturnal MCSs in weakly forced environments. Symp. on Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN), Amer. Meteor. Soc., Austin, TX, 3.4.

Squitieri, B.J.* and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2018: The use of PECAN observations to verify MCS cold pools simulated with varying horizontal grid spacing. Symp. on Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN), Amer. Meteor. Soc., Austin, TX, 843.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2017: On the acceleration of nocturnal mesoscale convective systems in simulations with increased horizontal grid spacing, 28th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/24th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 6B.2.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2016: WRF forecasts of Great Plains nocturnal low-level jet-driven MCSs. Part I: Correlation between low-level jet forecast accuracy and MCS precipitation forecast skill. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1301-1323.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2016: WRF forecasts of Great Plains nocturnal low-level jet-driven MCSs. Part II: Identifying the differences between strongly and weakly forced low-level jet forecast environments. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1491-1510.

Gallus, W.A., Jr., J. Lawson and B.J. Squitieri*, 2016: On the sensitivity of convective system structure and propagation in convection-allowing runs to horizontal grid spacings, EGU General Assembly 2016, Vienna, Austria.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2014: Evaluation of the Great Plains low level jet and its influence on mesoscale convective systems in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. 26th Conf. on Weather and Forecasting/22nd Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Atlanta, GA, 3B.5. * Author affiliated with Iowa State University.

Return to the author list

Richard L. Thompson
Storm Prediction Center

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Cohen, A.E., J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating tornado probability and tornado wind speed based on statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1099-1108.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Cohen, A.E., R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Rogers, J.W., B.A. Hagenhoff, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and E.E. Carpenter, 2016: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. NWA J. Oper. Meteor., 5 (4), 42-52.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Lewis, J. M., S. Lakshmivarahan, J. Hu, R. Edwards, R. A. Maddox, R. L. Thompson, and S. F. Corfidi, 2016: Ensemble forecasting of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (4), 1-26.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Hagenhoff, B.A., A.E. Cohen, J.W. Rogers, E.E. Carpenter, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2015: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP11.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2014: Reversible CAPE in tropical cyclone tornado regimes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P88.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Rogers, J.W., R.L. Thompson, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Potential applications of a CONUS sounding climatology developed at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P145.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Bunkers, M.J., D.A. Barber, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and J.M. Garner, 2014: Choosing a universal mean wind for supercell motion prediction. NWA Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 2 (11), 115-129.

Brotzge, J.A., S.E. Nelson, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2013: Tornado probability of detection and lead time as a function of convective mode and environmental parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1261-1276.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2012: Comparison of objective supercell identification techniques using an idealized cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2090-2102.

Grams, J.S., R.L. Thompson, D.V. Snively, J.A. Prentice, G.M. Hodges, and L.J. Reames, 2012: A climatology and comparison of parameters for significant tornado events in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 106-123.

Mead, C.M., and R.L. Thompson, 2011: Environmental characteristics associated with nocturnal significant-tornado events in the central and southern Great Plains. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (6), 1-35.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Mead, C.M., and R.L. Thompson, 2010: A synoptic-scale environment associated with significant nocturnal tornado events in the Great Plains. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 1.4.

Burkett, L., M. S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, J.M. Straka, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part I: Sensitivity to convective initiation mechanisms. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.23.

Gilmore, M.S., L. Burkett, R. Edwards, and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part II: Sounding variables as predictors of simulated low-level rotation. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7A.1.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, and R. Edwards, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part III: Comparisons at tornado-resolving grid spacing. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P10.20.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Dial, G.L., J.P. Racy and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Short-term convective mode evolution along synoptic boundaries. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1430-1446.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2009: Comments on "The North Dakota tornadic supercells of 18 July 2004: Issues concerning high LCL heights and evapotranspiration". Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1149-1158.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Houston, A.L., R.L. Thompson and R. Edwards, 2008: The optimal bulk wind differential depth and the utility of the upper-tropospheric storm-relative flow for forecasting supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 825-837.

Thompson, R.L., and J.S. Grams, 2008: Synoptic environments and convective modes associated with significant tornadoes in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.3.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Thompson, R.L., and C.M. Mead, 2006: Tornado failure modes in central and southern Great Plains severe thunderstorm episodes. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.1.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 2.4.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2002: Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 599-602.

Edwards, R., S. F. Corfidi, R. L. Thompson, J. S. Evans, J. P. Craven, J. P. Racy, D. W. McCarthy, and M. D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 2001: Subjective tornado probability forecasts in severe weather watches. Wea. Forecasting., 16, 192-195.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting., 15, 682-699.

Bunkers, M. J., B. A. Klimowski, J. W. Zeitler, R. L. Thompson, and M. L. Weisman, 2000: Predicting supercell motion using a new hodograph technique. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 61-79.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: A comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) model soundings with observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 551-554.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part I: An examination of storm-relative winds normalized to supercell depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 431-434.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part II: An independent assessment of supercell forecast parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 435-438.

Edwards, R., R. L. Thompson, and J. G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 60-63.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: Using the Destruction Potential Index (DPI) to compare tornado outbreaks in 1998 and 1999. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 424-426.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide comparisons of hail size with WSR-88D vertically integrated liquid water and derived thermodynamic sounding data. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 277-285.

Thompson, R. L., 1998: Eta model storm-relative winds associated with tornadic and nontornadic supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 125-137.

Thompson, R. L., and M. D. Vescio, 1998: The Destruction Potential Index: A method for comparing tornado days. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 280-282.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Some meteorological conditions associated with isolated F3-F5 tornadoes in the cool season. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 2-4.

Thompson, R. L., 1996: Supercell tornado forecasts derived from Eta model storm-relative winds. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 362-366.

Thompson, R. L.*, H. Guerrero, J. Livingston, K. Prochazka, and W. Read, 1995: Operational response of the Houston National Weather Service office to the November 16, 1993 tornadoes. Preprints, 14th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, TX, (J2) 25-29.

Thompson, R. L.*, J. M. Lewis, and R. A. Maddox, 1994: Autumnal return of tropical air to the Gulf of Mexico's coastal plain. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 348-360.

Thompson, R. L.*, J. M. Lewis, and R. A. Maddox, 1993: Autumnal return of tropical air to the Gulf of Mexico's coastal plain. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO., 25-29.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Houston, TX.
** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

Return to the author list

Nathan A. Wendt
Storm Prediction Center

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2018: An hourly climatology of MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe hail. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 13A.2.

Clark III, R., D. Cleaver, J. Correia, Jr., M.S. Elliott, C. Grunzke, R.M. Hepper, C.D. Karstens, J. Liang, N.J. Nauslar, B. Roberts, N.A. Wendt, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Wendt, N.A., I.L. Jirak, and C.J. Melick, 2016: Verification of severe weather proxies from the NSSL-WRF for hail forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P110.

Return to the author list

Top/Home