MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1437
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0229 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL KS/WRN OK INCLUDING ERN OK
   PANHANDLE/FAR NERN TX PANHANDLE/FAR NRN TX
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 171929Z - 172030Z
   
   ISOLATED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONGER TSTMS
   THAT DEVELOP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KS/WRN OK/FAR NERN TX PANHANDLE...
   AND TRACK SEWD.  WW IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
   WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY POTENTIAL INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY.
   
   SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED A COUPLE OF NW-SE ORIENTED BOUNDARIES
   THAT HAVE BEEN THE FOCI FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE EARLY
   AFTERNOON WITH CLOUD TOPS CONTINUING TO COOL ACROSS SW-SOUTH CENTRAL
   KS THROUGH WRN OK.  THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH
   ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A MID LEVEL IMPULSE TRACKING SEWD FROM SWRN
   KS/ERN OK PANHANDLE REGION...COUPLED WITH LOW LEVEL WAA.  WEAK
   INSTABILITY AND ELEVATED NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY WOULD SUGGEST
   OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW.  HOWEVER...STRONGER
   CORES MAY PRODUCE HAIL APPROACHING OR LOCALLY EXCEEDING SEVERE
   VALUES...GIVEN ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING ALONG ERN EXTENT OF STEEP
   LAPSE RATES...AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /30-40 KT/ WILL SUPPORT
   ORGANIZED STORMS.
   
   ..PETERS.. 06/17/2008
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...DDC...AMA...
   
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