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Mesoscale Discussion 760 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0760
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AR AND S CNTRL MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...
VALID 081608Z - 081715Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266
CONTINUES.
PRIMARY AND MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT HAS SHIFTED INTO TORNADO
WATCH 267. HOWEVER...THREAT FOR MOSTLY HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY PERSIST IN REMAINING PARTS WW 266...MAINLY
ACROSS NCNTRL AND NW AR NEXT HOUR. WW 266 WILL EXPIRE AT 17Z. UNLESS
STORMS ALONG TRAILING END OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BEGIN TO SHOW SIGNS OF
INTENSIFICATION...ANOTHER WW FARTHER SOUTH WILL PROBABLY NOT BE
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
DAMAGING BOW ECHO HAS SHIFTED EAST OF WW 266 AND IS LOCATED FROM
SERN MO SWWD THROUGH NWRN AR. TRAILING END OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDS WWD INTO NCNTRL AND NWRN AR AND IS MOVING SWD. MESOSCALE
LIFT PRODUCED BY A STRONG 45-50 KT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET INTERSECTING
THE TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FEATURE. HOWEVER...THE SWLY
850-750 MB FLOW IS RESULTING IN NEWD TRANSPORT OF WARM AIR ALOFT
WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 23C AT THE BASE OF THE EML. THIS HAS
CONTRIBUTED TO A STRONG CAP ACROSS THE PRE-CONVECTIVE WARM
SECTOR...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT FURTHER ROBUST THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AS THE BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWD.
..DIAL.. 05/08/2009
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...
LAT...LON 36129445 36549359 36689340 37019316 37399272 37329147
36259164 35249420 35669482 36129445
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