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Mesoscale Discussion 292 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AL INTO CNTRL/NRN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 271233Z - 271430Z
THE SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE BY MID/LATE MORNING FROM CNTRL AL
INTO GA AND SRN SC AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR HAIL AND WIND.
STORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS FROM
CNTRL MS EWD ACROSS AL AND GA N OF A SFC FRONT WHERE CONFLUENCE IN
THE LOWEST FEW KM ALONG WITH WEAK WARM ADVECTION WAS RESULTING IN
LIFT. ALSO NOTED WAS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN PW VALUES AS INDICATED BY
GPS SENSORS. 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY LEVELS IN PLACE
WITH RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL
WIND SHEAR PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SPLITTING CELLS. CURRENT ACTIVITY
IS LIKELY ELEVATED...BUT IS CLOSE TO THE FRONT AND MAY BECOME MORE
SURFACE BASED WITH JUST A FEW HOURS OF HEATING. THE INCREASING LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES LATER TODAY WILL RESULT IN BOTH AN INCREASED HAIL
AND WIND THREAT...AND MAY WARRANT A WATCH IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
..JEWELL.. 03/27/2011
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 32118813 32298832 32858837 33278759 33588444 33598125
33288037 32648033 32248096 32218216 32118813
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