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Mesoscale Discussion 875 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0875
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA/WRN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333...
VALID 230102Z - 230200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333
CONTINUES.
MULTICELLULAR CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER WRN VA/WRN NC WILL CONTINUE
PROGRESSING EWD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AMIDST MLCAPE VALUES
OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 25 TO 35
KT. THIS WILL SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND A FEW
DMGG WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL
RESULT IN A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TIME...CAUSING THE SVR
THREAT TO SUBSTANTIALLY DECREASE BY THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION TIME OF
03Z. REGARDLESS...THE THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR STORMS COULD EXTEND
ONE OR TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES EAST OF WW333 DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. THUS...THE WW MAY NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN SPATIAL
COVERAGE TO ADDRESS THIS ACTIVITY.
..COHEN.. 05/23/2011
ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...
LAT...LON 35608161 36758111 37718055 37757983 36878014 36278054
35358136 35608161
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