|
Mesoscale Discussion 885 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0885
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KS/NORTHEAST OK/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHWEST AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337...
VALID 231238Z - 231415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 337 CONTINUES UNTIL 18Z. LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WITH AN INCREASING CONCERN FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WITH AN EVOLVING MCS CURRENTLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KS/FAR
NORTHEAST OK INTO SOUTHWEST MO...THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF THE I-44
CORRIDOR IN SOUTHWEST MO/FAR NORTHEAST OK.
A FORWARD PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY/EXPAND AND ORGANIZE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KS/FAR NORTHEAST
OK GENERALLY BETWEEN THE CHANUTE KS/BARTLESVILLE OK AREAS AS OF
1230Z. WHILE BOUTS OF LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...BOTH WITH
THIS MCS AND OTHER MORE ISOLATED ELEVATED TSTMS...DAMAGING WINDS
WILL LIKELY BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KS/FAR NORTHEAST OK INTO SOUTHWEST MO AND PERHAPS
EXTREME NORTHERN AR. ALONG THESE LINES...A 54 KT WIND GUST WAS
RECENTLY MEASURED IN COFFEYVILLE KS AS OF 1210Z. WHILE THE
MCS-DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS IS NOT PARTICULARLY MOIST/UNSTABLE EARLY
TODAY IN THE WAKE OF LAST NIGHTS STORMS...THE 12Z OBSERVED RAOB FROM
SPRINGFIELD IS INDICATIVE OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT...WITH
AMPLE HEATING LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS MO/ADJACENT AR GIVEN CLOUD-FREE
SKIES PER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THESE FACTORS SEEMS LIKELY TO
SUPPORT ADDITIONAL MCS UPSCALE GROWTH/INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE
MORNING.
..GUYER.. 05/23/2011
ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 37009643 37589594 38569395 38649256 36339310 35979613
37009643
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|