MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1388
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0707 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN KS INTO CNTRL MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 260007Z - 260200Z
   
   STORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO SOMEWHERE IN
   THE VICINITY OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR...OR JUST SOUTH. THE MAIN THREAT
   WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL.
   HOWEVER...GIVEN FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND THERMODYNAMIC
   PROFILES...A TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
   
   CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS FAR ERN KS INTO WRN AND CNTRL MO HAS ONLY
   BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE ORGANIZED/AGITATED LOOKING OVER THE LAST FEW
   HOURS DURING PEAK HEATING. GIVEN FAIRLY WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG
   NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR
   AND THE LACK OF ANY APPRECIABLE UPPER LEVEL FORCING...CONVECTIVE
   INITIATION HAS BEEN HARD TO COME BY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE SBCAPE
   VALUES APPROACHING 4000 J/KG IN A MOSTLY UNCAPPED ENVIRONMENT.
   SO...WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING WHEN/IF
   INITIATION WILL OCCUR...EXPECT THAT STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP
   NEAR AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY AS A WEAK VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRACKS EWD
   ACROSS KS TO PROVIDE SUFFICIENT UPPER SUPPORT FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT.
   
   WHILE STORMS MAY INITIALLY DEVELOP IN CLUSTERS...EXPECT THEM TO
   CONGEAL INTO A S/SEWD MOVING LINE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
   CONCERN INTO THE LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS.
   
   ..LEITMAN.. 06/26/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
   
   LAT...LON   39199510 39469440 39539346 39469219 39359175 39079088
               38889063 38599045 38269038 37929058 37589098 37449115
               37029259 37009365 37029412 37109461 37429507 38139543
               38739544 39199510