MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1424
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0354 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MO...AR
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 272054Z - 272300Z
   
   THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS BEING EVALUATED ACROSS
   PARTS OF THE OZARKS OF SWRN MO AND NWRN AR...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
   CENTRAL MO. IF STORMS BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THESE AREAS IN THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS...A WATCH IS POSSIBLE.
   
   COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERSECTION ACROSS SWRN MO MAY BE ONE
   AREA FAVORED FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
   ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY TAKE FORM ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...ACROSS
   NRN AR...AS WELL AS ALONG THE SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS
   CENTRAL MO. THESE LOW LEVEL FORCING MECHANISMS EXIST AMIDST AN
   EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHERE INHIBITION HAS LIKELY WEAKENED
   SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN
   THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. WHILE LARGE SCALE FORCING IS SOMEWHAT
   NONDESCRIPT OVER THE REGION...40-50KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND
   MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY INDICATE THAT ANY STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP
   WOULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. BAROCLINITY NEAR THE OUTFLOW AND WEAK
   LOW LEVEL FLOW...IN ADDITION TO HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AND POTENTIAL
   FOR LOW LFC....ALSO SUGGEST THAT THE REGIME COULD SUPPORT TORNADOES
   IF SUPERCELLS CAN DEVELOP.
   
   THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR INCIPIENT DEVELOPMENT
   WITH A WATCH POSSIBLE AS IT OCCURS/INCREASES THROUGH THE LATER
   AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 06/27/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...
   
   LAT...LON   36099242 36329391 36659471 37379478 37749439 38149368
               38449292 38439235 37669218 37269176 36609121 36109155
               36099242