MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1468
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1258 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SRN MS...SRN AL...FL PNHDL AND EXTREME SWRN
   GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 021758Z - 022000Z
   
   DMGG MICROBURSTS WILL ACCOMPANY ISOLD TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS
   EXTREME SRN MS...SRN AL...FL PNHDL AND EXTREME SWRN GA THROUGH EARLY
   EVENING.  SVR TSTM WATCH IS UNLIKELY...LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
   PROBABILITY.  
   
   POCKET OF 1.60-1.85 PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CONTINUES ALONG/S OF A
   WEAK STNRY FRONT EXTENDING FROM N GA INTO CNTRL AL/MS THIS AFTN. 
   MODIFIED TLH SOUNDING EXHIBITS NEARLY 3500 J/KG MLCAPE BENEATH
   MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AROUND MINUS 7 DEG C.  TROPOSPHERIC FLOW
   REMAINS WEAK THROUGH 500 MB...WITH SOME INCREASE THROUGH 300 MB
   OWING TO RESIDUAL ENHANCED STREAM BETWEEN MCVS ROLLING SWD FROM THE
   OH VLY AND THE ECOAST TROUGH.  THIS WILL BE MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF
   ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORMS/CLUSTERS AS THEY DEVELOP ALONG THE
   SEABREEZE.  CONGLOMERATING COLD POOLS WILL EVENTUALLY CONTRIBUTE TO
   A WNWLY STORM MOTION AND WITH PCPN LOADING AND MAGNITUDE OF
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES/DCAPE...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD DMGG WIND GUSTS
   WILL EXIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING.  HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR THIS TO
   OCCUR WILL BE ALONG THE AL/FL BORDER.
   
   ..RACY.. 07/02/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
   
   LAT...LON   31489095 31608823 31988665 31918593 31608530 31178518
               30748520 30468534 30358554 30438599 30488644 30508690
               30458776 30518886 30568990 30769108 31259120 31489095