MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1482
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1226 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AND E-CNTRL MO...W-CNTRL AND SWRN IL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 031726Z - 031830Z
   
   TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EWD MOVING MCV HAVE SHOWN SIGNS OF
   INTENSIFYING MORE RECENTLY. THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN
   FAVORABLE FOR A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS. THE AREA
   IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
   
   SFC ANALYSIS FROM 17Z PLACES A STATIONARY FRONT 10 S SLO TO 15 S STL
   TO 20 SE SZL...WITH VERY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /E.G.
   LOWER-MID 70S DEWPOINTS/ IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. SB
   INSTABILITY GRADIENT IS DEMARCATED BY THE STATIONARY FRONT /PER 17Z
   RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/ AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
   ADDITIONAL SB CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. N OF THE
   BOUNDARY...ONGOING STRONG-SVR STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE
   MAINTAINED EWD WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY /MUCAPE AOA 3000 J/KG/ AND
   STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES PRESENT. A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DMGG
   WINDS /ESPECIALLY ALONG/NEAR THE STATIONARY FRONT/ WILL EXIST THIS
   AFTERNOON...DESPITE THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION BEING LIMITED BY WEAK
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR/MIDLEVEL FLOW.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 07/03/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...
   
   LAT...LON   38158857 38119099 38149322 38409363 39039389 39489389
               39779366 40019279 39689139 39579013 39508950 38988845
               38898835 38158857