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Mesoscale Discussion 1800 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1800
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 310038Z - 310215Z
A SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE THROUGH MID-EVENING INTO WESTERN
WI...SUCH THAT A WATCH OR LOCAL WFO EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED.
NEAR/JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...A BROKEN CORRIDOR OF DEEP
CONVECTION INCLUDING SEVERAL SUPERCELLS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY
SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MN EARLY THIS EVENING.
OTHER...BUT LESS VIGOROUS...CUMULIFORM DEVELOPMENT HAS ALSO BEEN
PERSISTENT ACROSS NORTHWEST WI IN VICINITY OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
THAT ARCS GENERALLY NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN/SOUTHERN WI.
THE ADJACENT AIRMASS/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ITSELF HAS QUICKLY MODIFIED
ACROSS MUCH OF WEST-CENTRAL /AND TO A LESSER EXTENT NORTHWEST/
WI...WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S F. ESPECIALLY IF/AS COLD
POOL DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO OCCUR UPSTREAM ACROSS CENTRAL
MN...STORMS MAY RETAIN THEIR GENERAL INTENSITY INTO AT LEAST FAR
WESTERN WI LATER THIS EVENING GIVEN VEERING WIND PROFILES AND STRONG
INSTABILITY /2700 J PER KG MLCAPE/ AS NOTED PER THE 00Z MINNEAPOLIS
OBSERVED SOUNDING.
..GUYER.. 07/31/2011
ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...
LAT...LON 45759254 46449173 46389087 44979080 44419149 44649260
45759254
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