|
Mesoscale Discussion 231 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CST SAT MAR 03 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...SE GA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 68...
VALID 031745Z - 031845Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 68 CONTINUES.
A NEW WW REPLACING WW 68 LIKELY WILL BE ISSUED SOON.
WITH A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE STILL DIGGING UPSTREAM...
TOWARD THE WESTERN/CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...THE COMPOSITE
NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED SURFACE FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO ONLY SLOWLY ADVANCE SOUTHWARD THROUGH NORTHERN FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE BULK OF THE VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
LIKELY WILL REMAIN ALONG AND TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY...WHERE PERSISTENT/TRAINING ACTIVITY COULD YIELD LOCALLY
EXCESSIVE RAIN TOTALS. HOWEVER...INHIBITION IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING
TO THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...DUE TO CONTINUED SURFACE
HEATING AND WEAK COOLING ALOFT. COUPLED WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
WARM ADVECTION...DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS IMMINENT AROUND
THE JACKSONVILLE AREA. DEEP LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO...ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...PERHAPS SOME HAIL.
..KERR.. 03/03/2012
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 30348527 30698411 31058329 31398192 31248156 30648145
29428118 29138164 29278221 29458252 29978349 29648457
29938522 30348527
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|