MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1177
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0613 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN FL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396...
   
   VALID 152313Z - 160015Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396
   CONTINUES.
   
   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SVR WEATHER THREAT MAY CONTINUE INTO EARLY
   NIGHT...BUT OVERALL POTENTIAL WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW WW 396 TO
   EXPIRE AT 01Z.
   
   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED/DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH HAD
   PRODUCED A FEW INSTANCES OF VERY LARGE HAIL...ARE BEGINNING TO
   DIMINISH IN INTENSITY OVER INLAND AREAS OF SRN FL. OTHERWISE...LINE
   OF STORMS HAS FORMED NEAR THE WRN GULF COAST ALONG SEA BREEZE
   CONVERGENCE ZONE. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
   GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS COOLING AND
   STABILIZING...WITH ESTIMATES OF MLCAPE AOB 1000 J/KG. THESE TRENDS
   SUGGEST THE SVR WEATHER THREAT IS QUICKLY DECREASING OVER THE
   AREA...AND WW 396 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 01Z.
   
   ..GARNER.. 06/15/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...TBW...
   
   LAT...LON   27648299 27648153 25137955 25148100 27648299