MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1767
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 580...
   
   VALID 152034Z - 152200Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 580
   CONTINUES.
   
   SUMMARY...A CONSOLIDATING CLUSTER OR LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO
   SPREAD ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING THE OUTER
   BANKS... DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
   
   DISCUSSION...INCREASING BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE ALONG THE AXIS OF
   STRONGEST PRE-FRONTAL HEATING ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL
   PLAIN NOW APPEARS TO BE CONTRIBUTING TO AN EVOLVING LINE OF STORMS. 
   IN THE PRESENCE OF HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
   ASSOCIATED WITH AN EASTWARD ADVANCING BELT OF 30-40 KT WEST
   SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW...FURTHER CONVECTIVE GROWTH/EXPANSION AND
   ORGANIZATION APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS AND THE OUTER
   BANKS THROUGH 22-23Z.  THIS LIKELY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT
   CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE
   OR TWO DOWNBURSTS WITH POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS.
   
   ..KERR.. 08/15/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
   
   LAT...LON   34677868 34897825 35797701 36357653 36897570 36127513
               34987559 34057788 34197865 34677868