MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1871
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1252 PM CDT MON SEP 03 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NC/SC AND S CNTRL VA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 031752Z - 031845Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...ISOLD DMGG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
   COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
   ALONG A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE CONFLUENCE EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM
   APALACHEE BAY NNEWD TO ROANOKE VA. WEAKLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND
   HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT WILL LIKELY ALLOW A REGENERATION OF STORMS
   ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OF QUICKLY COLLAPSING STORMS. WEAK DEEP
   LAYER WINDS WILL GENERALLY LIMIT ORGANIZATION...WITH
   SHORT-LIVED...CHAOTIC CLUSTERS AND PULSE-STORMS OCCASIONALLY CAPABLE
   OF DMGG WINDS GIVEN A STRONGER CORE.
   
   ..HURLBUT/CORFIDI.. 09/03/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
   
   LAT...LON   32848142 34348084 35278073 36738060 37097984 36487910
               35767877 34887862 33467967 32648044 32228095 32848142