MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1967
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0226 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY...PARTS OF WRN/SRN VT...WRN MA...WRN CT
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON 
   
   VALID 181926Z - 182000Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
   
   DISCUSSION...WEAK DESTABILIZATION AMIDST VERY STRONG
   LOW-LEVEL/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT QLCS STRUCTURES WITH A
   THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS AND TORNADOES INTO THE EVENING HOURS. A
   TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
   
   ..COHEN/MEAD.. 09/18/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...
   
   LAT...LON   41247354 41777427 42557460 43357476 44087501 44727474
               44827419 44667360 43907296 42817268 41577310 41247354