|
Mesoscale Discussion 1011 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 PM CDT SUN JUN 09 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL KY...WRN/MIDDLE TN...NERN MS...FAR NWRN
AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 290...291...
VALID 100030Z - 100130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
290...291...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS WITH EWD-EVOLVING QLCS/LINE SEGMENTS...BUT WILL REMAIN TOO
MARGINAL FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW BEYOND 02Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS LARGELY CONSOLIDATED INTO AN EWD-MOVING
QLCS FROM WRN KY INTO NRN MS. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS IS LIKELY ONLY
WEAKLY BUOYANT PER MODIFIED 00Z JAN/BMX RAOBS AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE LARGELY COOLED THROUGH THE 70S AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE POOR. STILL...30-40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A
MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX ATTENDANT TO THE MID-MS VALLEY SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF A LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND RISK UNTIL THE
AIR MASS IS COMPLETELY OVERTURNED.
..GRAMS.. 06/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...
LAT...LON 37648683 37848588 37678554 37178544 36248638 34248815
33948930 33998966 34248961 35278879 35878824 37648683
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|