MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0616 AM CDT FRI JUN 28 2013

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TN...NRN MS...NWRN AL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384...

   VALID 281116Z - 281245Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES FOR WW 384. AREAS S
   AND E OF WW 384 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW.

   DISCUSSION...SMALL FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE SE AT
   30 KT OVER WRN TN. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
   GUIDANCE SHOW THAT THE MCS IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED IN A SLIGHTLY
   COOLER/DRIER SURFACE AIRMASS COMPARED TO AREAS W AND S.
   HOWEVER...SURFACE THETA-E AND MUCAPE INCREASE OVER NRN MS/AL...WITH
   ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION PROBABLE WITH THE ONSET OF DAYTIME
   HEATING. THUS...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING OF THE
   MCS AS THE COLD POOL AND ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT ADVANCE SEWD FROM WRN
   TN INTO NRN MS/AL DURING THE MORNING. AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM WW 384
   ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

   ..GARNER.. 06/28/2013


   ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   35458742 34698666 33808675 32968749 32698859 33149013
               34009047 35258987 35668855 35458742