Mesoscale Discussion 0038
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0302 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

   Areas affected...northern South Carolina...central North
   Carolina...and southern Virginia.

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...7...

   Valid 092102Z - 092230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 7 continues.

   SUMMARY...A broken line of storms continues east with a threat for
   damaging wind gusts and potential for brief tornadoes.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms continues to move east across
   central South Carolina and central North Carolina with a history of
   producing damaging wind gusts. Lightning has lessened within the
   last few hours along this line as it moves east of the greater
   forcing and into a less buoyant airmass. However, some
   reintensification of the line has recently been observed near the
   South Carolina/North Carolina border, likely as a result of the
   approaching synoptic front. This was well forecast by the last
   several runs of the WoFS which also persist this well organized line
   to the South Carolina and North Carolina coast this evening. The
   best potential for supercellular tornadoes (and strong tornado
   potential) still exists with strong supercells moving off of the
   Gulf (see MCD 36), however, there remains some potential for
   tornadic producing supercells ahead of the squall line through the
   evening. Watch 7 may need to be expanded to the coast in eastern
   North Carolina and southeast Virginia if discrete development ahead
   of the line indicates it may move into that region.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   33837779 33777830 33667882 33197904 32707971 32568029
               32728089 33098080 33998054 34888041 36327956 37277883
               37457806 37327711 36927598 36077561 35647538 35157551
               34787620 34567647 34497687 34407741 33837779