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Mar- 4-2003 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
    
   VALID 061200-071200
    
   LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   NEAR THE END OF DAY 2 AND EARLY DAY 3...A WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO
   DRIFT SWD TO THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO/N FL IN THE WAKE OF A LOW THAT
   WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD FROM THE NC AREA INTO THE ATLANTIC. 
   CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED ALONG THE BOUNDARY THE FIRST HALF
   OF THE PERIOD...WITH DIMINISHING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE EXPECTED
   LATER IN THE PERIOD AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS AND WEAKENS IN THE WARM
   SECTOR.  ISOLATED STRONG STORMS COULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE PERIOD
   FROM THE CAROLINAS TO THE NE GULF COAST...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT
   WILL LIKELY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY.  THE ETA HAS SHOWN A TENDENCY
   TO BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE LA/TX AREA
   FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS... AND THIS APPEARS TO BE THE CASE AGAIN
   WITH THE 00Z RUN.
    
   ..THOMPSON.. 03/04/03
    
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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