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    Day 2 Outlook >
Apr 28, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Apr 28 00:58:53 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150428 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150428 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 280058

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0758 PM CDT MON APR 27 2015

   VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN TX AND
   ADJACENT WRN/SRN LA...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE SLIGHT
   RISK...AND EXTENDING EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
   S FL...

   ...SUMMARY...
   BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- INCLUDING ISOLATED STRONG TO
   SEVERE STORMS POSING A HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND RISK -- WILL
   CONTINUE SPREADING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDWARD THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT
   WITHIN A ZONE FROM TEXAS EAST-SOUTHEAST TO FLORIDA.

   ...TX TO FL...
   BAND OF ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THIS EVENING
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY...AHEAD OF SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE SRN TX
   PANHANDLE VICINITY.  WITH AMPLE SURFACE-BASED CAPE LINGERING ACROSS
   PARTS OF E TX...ESEWD-MOVING STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO POSE LOCAL
   SEVERE RISK -- AIDED BY AMPLE SHEAR OWING TO 60 KT MID-LEVEL FLOW ON
   THE SERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW.  STORMS ACROSS TX
   SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...WHILE MUCH OF THE STRONGER
   CONVECTION OVER THE LA/SRN MS/SRN AL VICINITY SHOULD SHIFT MAINLY
   INTO THE GULF WITH TIME AS THE ONSHORE AIRMASS BECOMES INCREASINGLY
   OVERTURNED BY THE ONGOING STORMS.

   FARTHER E INTO FL...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS MOVED OFF THE SERN COAST
   OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WHILE A SECOND/WEAKER CLUSTER
   APPROACHES THE W CENTRAL COAST.  STILL LATER...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
   MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.  WITH
   MODERATELY STRONG MID-LEVEL WLYS ACROSS CENTRAL AND S FL AND SOME
   REMNANT SURFACE-BASED CAPE LIKELY TO LINGER OVERNIGHT...A LOCALLY
   DAMAGING GUST OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

   ..GOSS.. 04/28/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: April 28, 2015
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