SPC AC 030056
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0756 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009
   
   VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL
   NEB...SERN WY...SWRN SD...NERN CO...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF SERN MT...
   
   ...NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
   RELATIVELY MESSY CONVECTIVE SCENARIO UNFOLDING WITH SEVERAL
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSES AIDING IN SCATTERED TSTMS ALONG THE LEE OF
   THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF
   30-40 KT /PER AREA RAOBS AND PROFILERS/ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND WHERE POCKETS OF LINGERING MODEST
   INSTABILITY REMAIN. AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS THIS
   EVENING...CONGLOMERATION OF TSTMS APPEAR PROBABLE...MAINLY FOCUSED
   ACROSS WRN INTO CNTRL NEB. NEVERTHELESS...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
   SHOULD WANE GIVEN CONTINUED OVERTURNING AND RELATIVELY WEAK
   MID/HIGH-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EVIDENCED IN 00Z RAOBS. REFER TO MCD 1409
   FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM DETAILS ON THE SEVERE THREAT.
   
   ...CNTRL GULF COAST...
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ALONG SYNOPTIC FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD MOVE
   OFFSHORE AND WEAKEN THROUGH 03Z. UNTIL THAT TIME...MLCAPE OF 1500 TO
   2000 J/KG /PER 00Z SHV AND LCH RAOBS/ WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
   ISOLATED MICROBURSTS/SEVERE HAIL IN STRONGER CORES.
   
   ..GRAMS/RACY.. 07/03/2009
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z