Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Feb 6, 2016 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 6 19:41:57 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20160206 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160206 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 061941

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0141 PM CST SAT FEB 06 2016

   VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT ALONG THE
   SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.

   ...DISCUSSION...

   TSTM THREAT IS DECREASING ALONG THE UPPER TX/LA COAST...PRIMARILY
   DUE TO DEEPER CONVERGENCE SHIFTING OVER THE NRN GOM.  WHILE A FEW
   SHOWERS...AND PERHAPS A LONE LIGHTNING STRIKE...WILL LINGER ACROSS
   THIS REGION IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS OFFSHORE.

   ELSEWHERE...NO CHANGES NECESSARY.

   ..DARROW.. 02/06/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
   A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER E TX THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE
   MOVING ESEWD OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO AND SERN U.S. THIS
   AFTERNOON...AND WILL REACH FL BY LATE TONIGHT. ONGOING CONVECTION
   ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH HAS MOSTLY MOVED SEWD OFF THE TX/LA
   COAST...BUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM REMAINS POSSIBLE FOR A SMALL
   PART OF COASTAL SERN TX/SWRN LA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH
   AXIS MOVES OVER THIS AREA. AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
   LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AS SLY/SWLY LOW TO
   MID-LEVEL FLOW MOISTENS THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN...AND ASCENT
   PRECEDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH SPREADS OVER THE REGION. MID-LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES ACROSS FL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR...BUT SUFFICIENT
   MID-LEVEL COOLING/MOISTENING BY 07/00Z MAY SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
   OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SERN FL
   COAST EARLY TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   NOT EXPECTED.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: February 06, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities