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May- 2-2004 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
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   SPC AC 020049
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0749 PM CDT SAT MAY 01 2004
   
   VALID 020100Z - 021200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S
   HUM 15 SSW MSY GPT 40 E MEI 20 NE CBM 15 W GAD 30 S ATL 20 NNW ABY
   20 W PFN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S PSM 25 N EWR 25
   SSW ACY ...CONT... VRB 50 SSE FMY ...CONT... 30 ESE BPT 20 SE POE 25
   SE MLU 30 NE MLU 25 N ELD 20 E HOT 45 NNE MKL 35 SE DTW.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W RFD 25 WNW UIN
   25 SE P35 45 SSW MHE 20 NE PIR 20 E MBG 45 W JMS 25 N JMS 40 N AXN
   40 ENE MSP 40 W RFD.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SRN 2/3 OF AL AND ADJACENT
   AREAS...
   
   ...CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
   LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS WRN AL /
   SERN MS AHEAD OF COLD POOL.  OTHER STORMS ARE OCCURRING AHEAD OF
   THIS LINE...IN AN AXIS FROM CENTRAL AL ESEWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SERN
   GA INTO NRN FL.
   
   AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE /1000 TO 1500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER
   CAPE/...AND WIND FIELD REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS. 
   HOWEVER...AN OVERALL SLOW WEAKENING OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN
   OBSERVED...AND TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 
   NONETHELESS...EXPECT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
   OR MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SRN 2/3 OF AL
   AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE.
   
   ...UPPER OH VALLEY REGION...
   CONVECTION AHEAD OF COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN IN GENERAL ACROSS
   THIS REGION...AND TREND SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
   HEATING RESULTS IN SLOW STABILIZATION OF LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS.
   
   LIMITED / LOCAL SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
   SEVERAL HOURS WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS GIVEN POCKETS OF
   INSTABILITY AND MODERATELY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD..
   
   ..GOSS.. 05/02/2004
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
        
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