Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Dec 15, 2018
Updated: Sat Dec 15 21:19:02 UTC 2018 (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
MS-Word or
PDF. Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics.
Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks.
Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 152117
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0317 PM CST Sat Dec 15 2018
Valid 171200Z - 231200Z
Weak flow across most of the CONUS will alleviate fire weather
concerns for the first part of next week. Fire weather concerns will
increase on Wednesday in the central High Plains as a strong
mid-level jet digs across the Rockies. As this jet digs further,
critical fire weather conditions will be possible further east into
the Texas panhandle and western Oklahoma. Several shortwaves
crossing the Rockies may increase the chance for downslope winds on
Friday and into next weekend, but there is not a strong enough
signal, or enough model agreement to add probabilities for any areas
beyond Thursday.
...D5/Wednesday - Southeastern Colorado...
A strong mid-level jet will traverse the Rockies on D5/Wednesday.
This will lead to downslope winds in much of eastern Colorado. These
downslope winds will likely reach critical strength in most of
eastern Colorado, but relative humidities may come up short of
critical dryness. Therefore, have introduced probabilities, but have
kept the probabilities at 40 percent at this time.
...D4/Thursday - Eastern TX and OK panhandles into western Oklahoma
and portions of far southern Kansas....
Downslope winds will be aided by a strengthening north northwesterly
low-level jet on Friday. Therefore, as mixing strengthens during the
afternoon, winds are expected to increase to critical or near
critical strength in the eastern Texas and Oklahoma panhandles and
western Oklahoma. Relative humidities will likely be similar to
D5/Wednesday in the borderline critical range. Have added 40 percent
probabilities for D5/Thursday to cover the potential for critical
fire weather conditions.
..Bentley.. 12/15/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
