Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Feb 5, 2023
Updated: Sun Feb 5 20:47:02 UTC 2023 (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
MS-Word or
PDF. Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 052043
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0243 PM CST Sun Feb 05 2023
Valid 071200Z - 131200Z
A progressive upper-level pattern will encourage multiple mid-level
troughs to traverse the CONUS mid-week into next weekend. Multiple
instances of surface low development are likely through the week
across the Mid-South and points east, with cooler and drier air
settling in behind the surface low(s) across the Plains states.
During the week, downslope flow and associated warming may encourage
locally dry and breezy conditions across the southern High Plains.
Of slightly greater concern is the possibility for surface low
development across the southern High Plains this upcoming weekend as
yet another upper-level trough approaches. Medium-range guidance is
beginning to show some agreement in widespread dry and windy
conditions across the southern High Plains, where preceding days of
no appreciable rainfall and dry conditions may prime finer fuels for
fire spread. Critical probabilities may need to be introduced for
portions of the southern High Plains in future outlooks pending
consistency in guidance solutions for the aforementioned widespread
dry and windy conditions.
..Squitieri.. 02/05/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT