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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Feb 5, 2023
Updated: Sun Feb 5 20:47:02 UTC 2023  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Tue, Feb 07, 2023 - Wed, Feb 08, 2023 D6Fri, Feb 10, 2023 - Sat, Feb 11, 2023
D4Wed, Feb 08, 2023 - Thu, Feb 09, 2023 D7Sat, Feb 11, 2023 - Sun, Feb 12, 2023
D5Thu, Feb 09, 2023 - Fri, Feb 10, 2023 D8Sun, Feb 12, 2023 - Mon, Feb 13, 2023
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   FNUS28 KWNS 052043

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0243 PM CST Sun Feb 05 2023

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   A progressive upper-level pattern will encourage multiple mid-level
   troughs to traverse the CONUS mid-week into next weekend. Multiple
   instances of surface low development are likely through the week
   across the Mid-South and points east, with cooler and drier air
   settling in behind the surface low(s) across the Plains states.
   During the week, downslope flow and associated warming may encourage
   locally dry and breezy conditions across the southern High Plains. 

   Of slightly greater concern is the possibility for surface low
   development across the southern High Plains this upcoming weekend as
   yet another upper-level trough approaches. Medium-range guidance is
   beginning to show some agreement in widespread dry and windy
   conditions across the southern High Plains, where preceding days of
   no appreciable rainfall and dry conditions may prime finer fuels for
   fire spread. Critical probabilities may need to be introduced for
   portions of the southern High Plains in future outlooks pending
   consistency in guidance solutions for the aforementioned widespread
   dry and windy conditions.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/05/2023

   ...Please see for graphic product...


Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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