Skip Navigation Links 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jan 24, 2020
Updated: Fri Jan 24 21:57:03 UTC 2020  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Jan 26, 2020 - Mon, Jan 27, 2020 D6Wed, Jan 29, 2020 - Thu, Jan 30, 2020
D4Mon, Jan 27, 2020 - Tue, Jan 28, 2020 D7Thu, Jan 30, 2020 - Fri, Jan 31, 2020
D5Tue, Jan 28, 2020 - Wed, Jan 29, 2020 D8Fri, Jan 31, 2020 - Sat, Feb 01, 2020
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   FNUS28 KWNS 242153

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020

   Valid 261200Z - 011200Z

   A progressive pattern will continue over the CONUS through the
   outlook period with multiple frontal passages likely across the
   southern CONUS. Multiple low latitude shortwave trough passages will
   likely limit moisture return to near the Gulf Coast and push cold
   fronts through Texas and Florida.

   ...Florida Peninsula...
   On Day 3/Sunday, drier conditions are likely to develop across the
   Florida Peninsula with minimum RH values dropping to 20-35%.
   However, winds will be weak limiting the probability for critical
   conditions. Drier conditions are likely to return on Day 5/Tuesday -
   Day 6/Wednesday, but potential precipitation on Day 4/Monday and
   forecast relatively light northwest winds will limit potential
   critical conditions on Day 5/Tuesday.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Westerly winds will increase across the southern High Plains on Day
   4/Monday, but minimum RH will likely remain above elevated
   thresholds (20-30%). Precipitation is possible late Day 4/Monday
   into Day 5/Tuesday from the Edwards Plateau and east/south across
   central/south Texas as the cold front moves through. This and
   marginal minimum RH values across the area including near the Rio
   Grande will limit fire potential behind the cold front as stronger
   west/northwest winds (15-25 mph) develop. Stronger post-frontal
   north-northwest flow (15-25 mph) is likely to develop across the
   southern High Plains, but RH will likely remain above 20%.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/24/2020

   ...Please see for graphic product...


Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
Page last modified: January 24, 2020
Information Quality
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities