ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082053

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   Confidence in widespread fire-weather concerns over the CONUS
   through the extended forecast period is low. Strong ridging in place
   over the central and western US will remain through midweek.
   Stronger mid-level flow, and a resulting increase in surface winds,
   will begin to develop over parts of the northern Rockies and Great
   Basin D3/Thursday and D4/Friday, as a strong cold front progresses
   eastward. The increase in winds may overlap with areas of dry fuels
   and continued warm/dry conditions supporting some elevated
   fire-weather concerns. However, the air mass behind the front should
   quickly moderate, casting uncertainty on how widespread the
   fire-weather threat will be. 

   Some fire-weather risk may extended into parts of the Plains and
   Great Basin late this week and into this weekend. Exact details with
   the frontal position/timing remain limited, but some potential for
   dry and windy conditions will overlap with very receptive fuels. A
   second stronger front will rapidly progress southward over the
   Rockies and central US later this weekend and into next week. This
   could support another period of dry and windy conditions across the
   Plains and Great Basin, but forecast confidence remains limited.

   ..Lyons.. 10/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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