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Mesoscale Discussion 985 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0985
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...SERN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 231813Z - 231945Z
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE APPEARS TO BE MOVING NWD OUT OF NM EARLY THIS AFTN
AND IS LIKELY ENHANCING DIURNAL CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT RANGE NWD
INTO SERN WY. LINE OF TCU HAS ALSO SHARPENED FROM ADAMS COUNTY NEWD
INTO CNTRL MORGAN COUNTY. MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THAT LOW-LEVEL DRY AIR
WAS MIXING QUICKLY NWD INTO ECNTRL CO...BUT MID-UPR 40S TO LWR 50S
DEW POINTS SHOULD SLOSH WWD INTO FAR NERN CO AND SERN WY DURING THE
COURSE OF THE AFTN.
LOW-LEVEL ESELY FLOW COUPLED WITH STRONG SLY H5 FLOW WILL BOOST
VERTICAL SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE VERY STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...LARGE HAIL...SOME VERY LARGE...WILL BE
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY OVER NERN CO. MEANWHILE...TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS NRN/CNTRL WELD...CNTRL/ERN
LARIMER...NRN MORGAN...NRN WASHINGTON AND LOGAN COUNTIES IN CO WHERE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL HAVE THE STRONGEST ELY COMPONENT AMIDST SURGING
MOISTURE.
..RACY.. 05/23/2008
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
41000595 41350659 41690671 41930641 42160575 42410489
42280445 41800402 41310352 40690322 40200296 40050332
40200379 40160428 40050477 40060507 40270522 40420537
40630559
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