Mesoscale Discussion 0155
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0613 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2019

   Areas affected...northeast South Carolina and southern North
   Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 040013Z - 040215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...The potential for isolated damaging winds and perhaps a
   brief tornado will exist across the discussion area this evening.  A
   watch is possible, and trends in thunderstorm coverage and intensity
   are being monitored.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar at 00Z shows a large area rain and
   thunderstorms over much of SC, with several embedded bowing segments
   and transient low-level circulations.  As this area of
   rain/thunderstorms moves northeast across the discussion area, the
   thermodynamic environment will exhibit modest instability this
   evening with MUCAPE averaging less than 500 J/kg.  Low-level winds
   will strengthen significantly, however, with 850-mb winds in the
   60-70 kt range in the 03-06Z time frame.  This environment will
   support a risk for isolated/transient bowing segments posing a risk
   for damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado this evening, however
   the overall threat should remain isolated given the marginal
   thermodynamic environment.

   ..Bunting/Guyer.. 03/04/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

   LAT...LON   33097899 33437984 33628001 33977979 34297984 34567966
               34837942 34927897 34847849 34767803 34457750 34017788
               33627875 33447888 33097899