Mesoscale Discussion 0479
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0526 PM CDT Sun May 02 2021

   Areas affected...Portions of western/central KS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 022226Z - 022330Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe threat, including the potential for significant
   severe wind gusts, will likely continue to increase early this
   evening. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has recently begun to form along a surface
   front in north-central KS as low-level convergence gradually
   increases late this afternoon. Additional robust storm development
   will likely occur/form along the KS/CO border and subsequently
   spread eastward. As this activity encounters increasing low-level
   moisture and rather well mixed airmass, damaging/severe wind gusts
   will likely become the main threat very quickly. Isolated large hail
   may also occur. Given the deeply mixed boundary layer and convection
   likely to focus along the surface front and grow upscale quickly,
   significant severe wind gusts appear possible. A Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch will be issued soon to address this increasing threat.

   ..Gleason/Thompson.. 05/02/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   40290201 40299797 37809794 37750198 40290201