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Mesoscale Discussion 1099
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1099
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0641 AM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

   Areas affected...central and southern Mississippi into southern
   Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314...

   Valid 161141Z - 161345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds is greatest currently over
   east-central Mississippi, and will extend into southwest Alabama
   shortly. Small areas in Alabama just north of the watch may have a
   damaging-wind threat as well.

   DISCUSSION...A steady-state MCS continues to move rapidly east
   across central and into east-central MS, at a speed around 55 kt.
   This MCS is currently riding along the instability gradient which is
   oriented from northwest to southeast from southern MS into the FL
   Panhandle. Given this orientation, it is possible that northern
   portions of the MCS may weaken over time, with the stronger storm
   cores translating southeastward into the warmer air mass. While
   parts of southern AL and the FL Panhandle are cooler at the surface
   due to outflow from the overnight storms/flooding, veered/westerly
   winds above this relative cool layer should aid elevated
   instability, which may continue to fuel the MCS with damaging-wind
   potential.

   ..Jewell.. 06/16/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

   LAT...LON   32508889 32318670 32248623 32158605 31778602 31348607
               31278605 31058611 30808630 30638664 30608731 30728829
               30978899 31198923 31478921 32048903 32328899 32508889 

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Page last modified: June 16, 2023
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