Mesoscale Discussion 0090
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021
Areas affected...central portions of the Florida Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 7...
Valid 151938Z - 152115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 7 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornado threat is increasing over portions of the central
Florida Panhandle, within WW 007.
DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis indicates dewpoints increasing
across coastal counties across portions of the Florida Panhandle, as
winds veer to a more southerly direction ahead of the line of storms
now advancing eastward across Walton County. While convection has
remained generally elevated inland up to this point, the increasing
boundary-layer moisture suggests that risk for surface-based
convection is also increasing. Therefore, tornado risk is likewise
becoming greater with time, particularly across the Bay, Calhoun,
Liberty, and Gulf County areas over the next 1-2 hours. Some
potential for a strong tornado exists, given favorably
veering/increasing flow with height observed by the latest KTLH
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 29888612 30448615 30678538 30728457 30328428 29898444
29538490 29588535 29888612