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Mesoscale Discussion 90
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0090
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0138 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

   Areas affected...central portions of the Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 7...

   Valid 151938Z - 152115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 7 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat is increasing over portions of the central
   Florida Panhandle, within WW 007.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis indicates dewpoints increasing
   across coastal counties across portions of the Florida Panhandle, as
   winds veer to a more southerly direction ahead of the line of storms
   now advancing eastward across Walton County. While convection has
   remained generally elevated inland up to this point, the increasing
   boundary-layer moisture suggests that risk for surface-based
   convection is also increasing.  Therefore, tornado risk is likewise
   becoming greater with time, particularly across the Bay, Calhoun,
   Liberty, and Gulf County areas over the next 1-2 hours.  Some
   potential for a strong tornado exists, given favorably
   veering/increasing flow with height observed by the latest KTLH
   WSR-88D VWP.

   ..Goss.. 02/15/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29888612 30448615 30678538 30728457 30328428 29898444
               29538490 29588535 29888612 

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Page last modified: February 15, 2021
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