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Mesoscale Discussion 131
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MD 131 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0131
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of central MS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 19...

   Valid 111955Z - 112130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 19

   SUMMARY...An isolated hail/wind threat may persist with
   thunderstorms north of a front this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Convection north of a front across central MS has
   struggled to intensify this afternoon, while also acquiring more
   linear characteristics over the past hour or so. Even though this
   small cluster may remain slightly elevated, its close proximity to
   the warm front and gradual/filtered daytime heating occurring
   downstream suggests that strong to locally damaging winds may still
   occur with the stronger downdrafts. Deep-layer shear of 50-55 kt is
   also very supportive of continued thunderstorm organization.
   Isolated severe hail remains possible in the short term with any
   supercell that can develop within or ahead of the ongoing line. This
   activity should persist into AL, but with weaker MUCAPE in place
   with eastward extent, a gradual weakening trend is anticipated later
   this afternoon north of the front.

   ..Gleason.. 02/11/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   33698996 33758900 33668841 33028854 32858970 32689024
               33329035 33698996 

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