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Mesoscale Discussion 569
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0569
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1147 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

   Areas affected...Ozarks region

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 290447Z - 290645Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...there is a low risk of a brief tornado, and/or gusty
   winds, with convection early this morning.

   DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level short-wave trough is ejecting northeast
   across MO late this evening. This feature appears largely
   responsible for MCS that is propagating across central MO.
   Southwestern flank of this complex trails across the MO Ozarks into
   northwest AR. Isolated supercells are embedded along this flanking
   convection where weak buoyancy has yet to be overturned. Forecast
   soundings for this region suggest parcels may be slightly elevated,
   but strongly sheared. While a brief tornado can not be ruled out, at
   this time it appears the weak instability will limit the severe
   potential as the MCS propagates downstream.

   ..Darrow/Smith.. 04/29/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   37249226 37569104 36849062 36329197 36479284 37249226 

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