Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 96
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KANSAS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 94. WATCH NUMBER 94 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 755
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 95...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG
LEADING EDGE OF MCS/RAINFALL SHIELD NOW OVER CNTRL OK/KS. AS SFC
PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE OVER CNTRL OK/KS IN RESPONSE TO EJECTING MID
LEVEL SPEED MAX NOW ENTERING W TX...ASSOCIATED BACKING OF LOW-LEVEL
WINDS WILL LENGTHEN LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. COUPLED WITH NEARLY
SATURATED LOWER LEVELS...THIS MAY SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 96 TORNADO KS OK 310055Z - 310800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NE MHK/MANHATTAN KS/ - 50E DUA/DURANT OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46S PWE - 56SSE MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
REPLACES WW 94..OK
LAT...LON 39439515 33939448 33939656 39439740
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 96 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 96
VALID 310655Z - 310800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE PRX
TO 15 SSE RKR.
WW 96 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310800Z.
..HART..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC089-310800-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 96
VALID 310600Z - 310740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N PRX TO
30 W FYV.
..CARBIN..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-079-089-135-310740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 96
VALID 310455Z - 310540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE DUA TO
30 SW GMJ TO 15 NE CNU TO 15 E CNK.
..GOSS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-011-021-031-037-045-059-085-087-139-149-161-177-197-
310540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOURBON CHEROKEE
COFFEY CRAWFORD DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-041-061-077-079-089-091-101-115-121-127-
135-310540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE
OTTAWA PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 96
VALID 310345Z - 310440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE GYI TO
10 NNW MLC TO 20 NW TUL TO 35 NNE ICT.
..GOSS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-017-019-021-027-031-037-041-045-049-059-061-073-
085-087-099-107-111-121-125-127-133-139-149-161-177-197-205-207-
310440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
CLAY COFFEY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LABETTE
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEOSHO
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-089-091-097-101-105-
111-115-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-310440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW CRAIG
DELAWARE HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKMULGEE OTTAWA PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA ROGERS SEQUOYAH
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 96
VALID 310240Z - 310340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-017-019-021-027-031-037-041-045-049-059-061-073-
085-087-099-107-111-121-125-127-133-139-149-161-177-197-205-207-
310340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
CLAY COFFEY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LABETTE
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEOSHO
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-077-079-089-091-
097-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-127-131-133-135-143-145-147-
310340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA ROGERS SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 96
VALID 310155Z - 310240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-017-019-021-027-031-037-041-045-049-059-061-073-
085-087-099-107-111-121-125-127-133-139-149-161-177-197-205-207-
310240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
CLAY COFFEY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LABETTE
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEOSHO
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-077-079-089-091-
097-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-127-131-133-135-143-145-147-
310240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA ROGERS SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.