Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH OF LA
JUNTA COLORADO TO 25 MILES NORTH OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 260...WW 261...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE RATON RIDGE AND
ARE MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST CO. OTHER STORMS ARE LIKELY
TO INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS OVER SOUTHWEST KS IN VICINITY OF
PRE-EXISTING BOUNDARIES. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND DEEP
LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR ARE PRESENT FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION CAPABLE
OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 262 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 051935Z - 060200Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30S LHX/LA JUNTA CO/ - 25N P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /21N TBE - 48W ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 38250351 38299858 37009858 36950351
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 262 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 262
VALID 060025Z - 060140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-071-099-060140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-171-175-185-187-189-060140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 262
VALID 052245Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..05/05/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-071-099-052340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-171-175-185-187-189-052340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 262
VALID 052020Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CORFIDI..05/05/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-071-099-052140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-171-175-185-187-189-052140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
