SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 918
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   655 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          WEST CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM
   UNTIL 100 AM MDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
   DALHART TEXAS TO 80 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 916...WW 917...
   
   DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG SSW-NNE
   CONFLUENCE ZONE IN E CNTRL/SE NM.  OTHER STORMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
   ALONG SIMILAR CONFLUENCE BAND IN MORE DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT IN N
   CNTRL/ NE NM.  STRENGTH OF EXISTING WIND FIELD...LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME
   BACKING/STRENGTHENING OF NEAR-SFC FLOW...AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
   OVER ERN NM SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD BUT POSSIBLY STRONG
   TORNADOES OVER THAT PART OF THE STATE AND IN ADJACENT PARTS OF TX. 
   HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORMS IN THE N
   CNTRL/NE NM.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 918
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   655 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
          WEST CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM
   UNTIL 100 AM MDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
   DALHART TEXAS TO 80 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSWELL NEW MEXICO.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 916...WW 917...
   
   DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG SSW-NNE
   CONFLUENCE ZONE IN E CNTRL/SE NM.  OTHER STORMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
   ALONG SIMILAR CONFLUENCE BAND IN MORE DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT IN N
   CNTRL/ NE NM.  STRENGTH OF EXISTING WIND FIELD...LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME
   BACKING/STRENGTHENING OF NEAR-SFC FLOW...AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
   OVER ERN NM SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD BUT POSSIBLY STRONG
   TORNADOES OVER THAT PART OF THE STATE AND IN ADJACENT PARTS OF TX. 
   HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORMS IN THE N
   CNTRL/NE NM.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   WOUS64 KWNS 120058
   WOU8
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 918
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   655 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008
   
   TORNADO WATCH 918 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM MDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   NMC005-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-120700-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0918.081012T0055Z-081012T0700Z/
   
   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CHAVES               CURRY               DE BACA             
   GUADALUPE            HARDING             MORA                
   QUAY                 ROOSEVELT           SAN MIGUEL          
   UNION                
   
   
   OKC025-120700-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0918.081012T0055Z-081012T0700Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CIMARRON             
   
   
   TXC017-069-111-117-205-359-369-120700-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0918.081012T0055Z-081012T0700Z/
   
   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BAILEY               CASTRO              DALLAM              
   DEAF SMITH           HARTLEY             OLDHAM              
   PARMER               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...LUB...AMA...
   
   
   

   SAW8 
   WW 918 TORNADO NM OK TX 120055Z - 120700Z
   AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   30SE DHT/DALHART TX/ - 80NW ROW/ROSWELL NM/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /36NW AMA - 64NW ROW/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
   
   LAT...LON 34340216 32720551 35470551 37090216
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.
   

Watch 918 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 918

VALID 120650Z - 120700Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE ROW
TO 30 NE TCC TO 20 E DHT TO 15 WNW EHA TO 10 WNW CAO TO 50 NNW
TCC TO 40 NE LVS.

WW 918 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 120700Z.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2335.

..EDWARDS..10/12/08

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 918 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-021-033-037-041-059-120700-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 HARDING	     
MORA		     QUAY		 ROOSEVELT	     
UNION		     
$$


TXC017-069-117-205-359-369-120700-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     CASTRO		 DEAF SMITH	     
HARTLEY 	     OLDHAM		 PARMER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 918

VALID 120540Z - 120640Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2334.

..EDWARDS..10/12/08

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 918 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-120640-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 MORA		     
QUAY		     ROOSEVELT		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


OKC025-120640-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-069-111-117-205-359-369-120640-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     CASTRO		 DALLAM 	     
DEAF SMITH	     HARTLEY		 OLDHAM 	     
PARMER		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 918

VALID 120400Z - 120540Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..SPC..10/12/08

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 918 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-120540-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 MORA		     
QUAY		     ROOSEVELT		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


OKC025-120540-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-069-111-117-205-359-369-120540-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     CASTRO		 DALLAM 	     
DEAF SMITH	     HARTLEY		 OLDHAM 	     
PARMER		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 918

VALID 120230Z - 120340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GRAMS..10/12/08

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 918 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-120340-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
GUADALUPE	     HARDING		 MORA		     
QUAY		     ROOSEVELT		 SAN MIGUEL	     
UNION		     
$$


OKC025-120340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON	     
$$


TXC017-069-111-117-205-359-369-120340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY		     CASTRO		 DALLAM 	     
DEAF SMITH	     HARTLEY		 OLDHAM 	     
PARMER		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.