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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 208
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 350 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST OF
CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 206. WATCH NUMBER 206 WILL NOT
BE IN EFFECT AFTER 350 AM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 207...
DISCUSSION...SLIGHTLY ELEVATED SUSTAINED STORM CLUSTERS/WEAK
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY ENE THROUGH LATER THIS
MORNING AS 30-40 KT SLY LLJ CONTINUES TO MOISTEN LAYER ABOVE SHALLOW
COOL DOME. RELATIVE WEAKNESS OF FLOW IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER
EXPECTED TO SOMEWHAT LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION/STRENGTH...BUT
POTENTIAL WILL NEVERTHELESS EXIST FOR SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS/LEWPS
WITH SVR HAIL...DMG WIND...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLD TORNADO GIVEN
QUALITY OF ELEVATED MOIST INFLOW /PW AOA 1.25 INCHES/.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25020.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 208 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 290850Z - 291600Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70W CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 25NNE ADM/ARDMORE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /48NNE LBB - 29NNE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
REPLACES WW 206..TX
LAT...LON 35430151 35639684 33619684 33400151
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 208 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 208
VALID 291555Z - 291640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE CDS
TO 65 SE CDS TO 10 SE SPS TO 10 E ADM.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-033-049-067-085-087-099-109-125-137-291640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON LOVE
MCCLAIN MURRAY OKLAHOMA
POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-275-337-485-487-291640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE KNOX MONTAGUE
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 208
VALID 291450Z - 291540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE CDS
TO 50 SE CDS TO 20 WNW SPS TO 40 ESE FSI TO 25 E CHK TO 5 NNE OKC
TO 20 NE OKC.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-033-049-067-085-087-099-109-125-137-291540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON LOVE
MCCLAIN MURRAY OKLAHOMA
POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-275-337-485-487-291540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE KNOX MONTAGUE
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 208
VALID 291240Z - 291340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE CDS
TO 20 ESE CDS TO 20 NW LTS TO 15 N CSM.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-075-085-087-
099-109-125-137-141-149-291340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-097-155-197-275-337-485-487-291340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FOARD HARDEMAN
KNOX MONTAGUE WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 208
VALID 291130Z - 291240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE PVW
TO 10 N CDS TO 35 NNE CDS TO 40 WNW CSM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 626.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-
075-085-087-099-109-125-129-137-141-149-291240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-097-101-107-125-153-155-197-269-275-337-345-
485-487-291240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COOKE COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS FLOYD
FOARD HARDEMAN KING
KNOX MONTAGUE MOTLEY
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 208
VALID 291030Z - 291140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE PVW
TO 55 ESE BGD.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-
075-085-087-099-109-125-129-137-141-149-291140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-045-075-077-087-097-101-107-125-129-153-155-191-197-
269-275-337-345-483-485-487-291140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BRISCOE
CHILDRESS CLAY COLLINGSWORTH
COOKE COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD HALL HARDEMAN
KING KNOX MONTAGUE
MOTLEY WHEELER WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 208
VALID 290950Z - 291040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 208
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-
075-085-087-099-109-125-129-137-141-149-291040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-011-023-045-065-075-077-087-097-101-107-125-129-153-155-
179-191-197-269-275-337-345-483-485-487-291040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER ARMSTRONG BAYLOR
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COOKE
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD FOARD
GRAY HALL HARDEMAN
KING KNOX MONTAGUE
MOTLEY WHEELER WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.