Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 537
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
640 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
WESTERN NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 640 PM
UNTIL 100 AM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF CHADRON NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF AKRON
COLORADO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
SOUTHEAST WY... THE NORTHERN NEB PANHANDLE...AND NORTHEAST CO.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD INTO MORE MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.
SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTS A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL IN MORE PERSISTENT AND ORGANIZED STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 537 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 020040Z - 020700Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40ENE CDR/CHADRON NE/ - 35WSW AKO/AKRON CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /62SSE RAP - 32WSW AKO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 43040068 39970223 39970544 43040405
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 537 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 537
VALID 020555Z - 020640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N IML TO
40 ENE CDR.
..GOSS..07/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-031-049-069-075-091-101-161-020640-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHERRY DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 537
VALID 020435Z - 020540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW IML
TO 35 ENE AKO TO 30 SE AIA TO 30 ENE CDR.
..PETERS..07/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC095-115-020540-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
NEC005-031-049-069-075-091-101-161-020540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHERRY DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 537
VALID 020335Z - 020440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW AKO TO
25 S SNY TO 10 SW BFF TO 35 NE TOR TO 50 WNW CDR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1400.
..PETERS..07/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-121-020440-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC005-007-013-031-033-045-049-069-075-091-101-123-157-161-165-
020440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHERRY CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN GRANT
HOOKER KEITH MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 537
VALID 020245Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW CYS TO
40 ESE CYS TO 15 SSW BFF TO 30 NE TOR TO 50 WNW CDR.
..PETERS..07/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-123-020340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC005-007-013-031-033-045-049-069-075-091-101-105-123-157-161-
165-020340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHERRY CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN GRANT
HOOKER KEITH KIMBALL
MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN
SIOUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 537
VALID 020140Z - 020240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..07/02/09
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-123-020240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
$$
NEC005-007-013-031-033-045-049-069-075-091-101-105-123-157-161-
165-020240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHERRY CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN GRANT
HOOKER KEITH KIMBALL
MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN
SIOUX
$$
WYC015-020240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.