Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 637
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
900 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF
CHANDLER OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 635...WW 636...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS AIR MASS MDTLY UNSTABLE WITH
LITTLE REMAINING CINH. WITH 30-35KT OF SHEAR AND STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES LARGE HAIL AND LOCAL DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE THREAT.
MORE ORGANIZED/DEVELOPING MCS TX PANHANDLE WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN AS
IT MOVES E/SEWD INTO SWRN OK/NWRN TX.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 637 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 300200Z - 300800Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35E CQB/CHANDLER OK/ - 45WSW CSM/CLINTON OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /35SW TUL - 46NNE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 34279619 33639994 36529994 37169619
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 637 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 637
VALID 300720Z - 300800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E SPS TO
20 N CHK TO 40 ESE CQB.
PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 637...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE
RED RIVER...MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO/PERHAPS
AREA. OTHERWISE...A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT 30/08Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1718
..KERR..07/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-027-029-049-051-053-063-067-069-085-087-095-099-
107-123-125-133-137-300800-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKFUSKEE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-077-275-485-300800-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
KNOX WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 637
VALID 300630Z - 300740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
045-047-049-051-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-
083-085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-
137-141-149-151-153-300740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER HUGHES
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-300740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 637
VALID 300530Z - 300640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
045-047-049-051-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-
083-085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-
137-141-149-151-153-300640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER HUGHES
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-300640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 637
VALID 300450Z - 300540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
045-047-049-051-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-
083-085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-
137-141-149-151-153-300540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER HUGHES
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-300540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 637
VALID 300325Z - 300440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-045-
047-049-051-053-055-057-059-063-065-069-071-073-075-081-083-087-
093-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-
153-300440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER HUGHES JACKSON
JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC155-197-275-485-487-300440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.