Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 656
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
FAR NORTHERN KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 945 AM UNTIL
400 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TERRE HAUTE INDIANA TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MUNCIE
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 654...WW 655...
DISCUSSION...BOWING MCS...POSSIBLE DERECHO...EVOLVING OVER IL EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY TRACK ESEWD ACROSS IND LATER THIS
MORNING/AFTERNOON AS A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS DEVELOPS ACROSS THE OH
RIVER VALLEY. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THIS
LINE OF STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL IND WITH THREATS OF ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY ADD TO FLOODING
CONCERNS ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF WW WHERE HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN THIS MORNING...AND WHERE TRAINING OCCURS ACROSS CENTRAL INTO
SWRN IND.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 656 SEVERE TSTM IN KY 041345Z - 042000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NW HUF/TERRE HAUTE IN/ - 80SSE MIE/MUNCIE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /23NW TTH - 11NNW CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 40728765 40188483 38168483 38688765
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 656 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 656
VALID 041945Z - 042000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW SDF
TO 30 NNW LEX.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 656 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
04/20Z.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-037-043-061-117-123-042000-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS
FLOYD HARRISON ORANGE
PERRY
$$
KYC103-111-185-042000-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY JEFFERSON OLDHAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 656
VALID 041850Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW SDF
TO 30 NNW LEX.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-037-043-061-117-123-041940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS
FLOYD HARRISON ORANGE
PERRY
$$
KYC103-111-185-041940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY JEFFERSON OLDHAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 656
VALID 041755Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N EVV TO
25 WSW LUK.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-027-037-043-061-077-083-093-101-115-117-123-143-155-
175-041840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JEFFERSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN OHIO ORANGE
PERRY SCOTT SWITZERLAND
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC041-077-103-111-185-187-223-041840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
JEFFERSON OLDHAM OWEN
TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 656
VALID 041735Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW HUF
TO 50 E BMG TO 10 NW MIE.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC013-019-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-055-061-065-071-
077-079-083-093-101-105-115-117-123-135-137-139-143-153-155-161-
175-177-041840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CRAWFORD
DAVIESS DEARBORN DECATUR
DELAWARE DUBOIS FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE
HARRISON HENRY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN MONROE
OHIO ORANGE PERRY
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
SCOTT SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND
UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC041-077-103-111-185-187-223-041840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
JEFFERSON OLDHAM OWEN
TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 656
VALID 041645Z - 041740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW HUF TO
25 NNW BMG TO 15 NE LAF.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-
047-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-
101-105-109-115-117-119-123-133-135-137-139-143-145-153-155-159-
161-167-175-177-041740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE
DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON
MARION MARTIN MONROE
MORGAN OHIO ORANGE
OWEN PERRY PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
SCOTT SHELBY SULLIVAN
SWITZERLAND TIPTON UNION
VIGO WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC041-077-103-111-185-187-223-041740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
JEFFERSON OLDHAM OWEN
TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 656
VALID 041540Z - 041640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-
045-047-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-
097-101-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-133-135-137-139-143-145-
153-155-157-159-161-165-167-171-175-177-041640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE
DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD
FOUNTAIN FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OHIO ORANGE OWEN
PARKE PERRY PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
SCOTT SHELBY SULLIVAN
SWITZERLAND TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC041-077-103-111-185-187-223-041640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GALLATIN HENRY
JEFFERSON OLDHAM OWEN
TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.