Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 736
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 540 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SALINA KANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
HUTCHINSON KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
OVER NCENTRAL KS. WITH 35-40KT OF SHEAR COUPLED WITH MLCAPES AOA
1500 J/KG...POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH
ASSOCIATED COLD POOLS AS THEY DEVELOP SWD INTO INSTABILITY AXIS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 33025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 736 SEVERE TSTM KS 032240Z - 040500Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW SLN/SALINA KS/ - 20SSE HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /32NNW SLN - 8WNW ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
LAT...LON 39389704 37799680 37799865 39389891
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 736 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 736
VALID 040325Z - 040440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CNK TO
40 SSW MHK.
..GOSS..09/04/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 736
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-053-079-105-113-115-155-159-167-169-040440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLSWORTH HARVEY
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION
RENO RICE RUSSELL
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 736
VALID 040130Z - 040240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CNK TO
40 SSW MHK.
..GOSS..09/04/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 736
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-053-079-105-113-115-155-159-167-169-040240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLSWORTH HARVEY
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION
RENO RICE RUSSELL
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 736
VALID 040020Z - 040140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..09/04/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 736
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-041-053-079-105-113-115-143-155-159-167-169-040140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON DICKINSON ELLSWORTH
HARVEY LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION OTTAWA RENO
RICE RUSSELL SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.